NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Monday, June 1, 2026

Identified as a potential breakout rookie wide receiver for the Atlanta Falcons, suggesting upside potential in his first NFL season.

Highlighted as a player competing for playing time, with the source wanting to see if he can beat out Omar Cooper Jr. for a roster spot or role with his team.

The source indicates uncertainty about Tyreek Hill's status, noting a desire to see if he signs, suggesting his fantasy value is contingent on a team signing or transaction.

Noted as a player to monitor for the slot role, with fantasy value dependent on whether he clearly wins that role.

Described as a first-round wide receiver, but the source explicitly notes that the issue is he plays for the New York Jets, suggesting team context is a significant downside to his fantasy value.

Ranked at 55 overall, but the source notes that if Homer were a full-time wide receiver, he would rank in the 30s, indicating significant upside if his role clarifies to full-time WR status.

Identified as a potential year-two breakout candidate, suggesting upside for the second season.

Diggs is expected to rise significantly in rankings if and when he signs with a high-powered offense, suggesting his current ranking is depressed by his team situation.

Listed as a draftable option at the bottom of the top 50 wide receiver rankings; described as a guy who will be drafted in home leagues.

Meyers was a very steady presence after being traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars last year, immediately becoming a starting player for Jacksonville. The source believes Meyers has the most secure playing time in the Jaguars receiving room, with Parker Washington being the more likely player to lose snaps if Travis Hunter enters the picture.

Harrison has had some great games but his overall resume is of an incredibly disappointing first-round wide receiver. He posted 1.65 yards per route run for his career, indicating efficiency well below expectations for a top-tier draft pick. With Jacoby Brissett at quarterback and Trey McBride leading the team in targets, the source considers this a fine price but not a guy to target in fantasy drafts.

Thomas had a phenomenal rookie season finishing as WR4 with 133 targets in 14 games. This year he only had 91 targets in 14 games, and both his yards per target and yards per route run declined. Early Jaguars reporting suggests Thomas will be used primarily as a deep threat in 12 and 11 personnel, with short-area targets now going to Parker Washington, Kendrick Bourne, and Jakobi Meyers—a significant role reduction from his rookie year when he was adding tons of yards after the catch.

Worthy has been very disappointing in his career, earning few targets and scoring only one touchdown last year. However, he played all of last season with a torn labrum. The source is buying on Eric Bieniemy being back in Kansas City and would consider Xavier Worthy a target in this range.

Pearsall was third in the NFL in receiving yards before he got injured last year; the source considers him a clear target in this draft range. He had a huge blow-up game in week 17 two years ago and has significant contingent value if Mike Evans cannot play, giving him a path to increased targets and production.

Washington is a third-year breakout candidate but is directly competing for playing time with Travis Hunter, the number two overall pick in last year's draft. He might not play in base personnel and could be the number one wide receiver for the Jaguars, but the source is lower on him due to his prospect profile.

The source considers Pittman Jr. a clear target in this draft range. Pittman will be the zone beater in the Pittsburgh Steelers offense with Aaron Rodgers, a very valuable role. The source expects many of the cheap, short targets that Jaylen Warren and John Metchie Smith received last year to convert to Pittman, and projects he could have a sneaky 80-catch season.

According to reports, Downs is finally going to have an enhanced role. The source notes he is a 100-catch guy who has never been able to play enough snaps to reach that level. The only obstacle is Nick Westbrook-Ikhine. The source believes Downs can probably play on the outside but questions how much the team will choose to trust him in that role.

Reed has never been a full-time player in his NFL career but will now have a chance to be one because Green Bay has jettisoned all of their other wide receivers. The source expects Reed to finally play about 80% of the snaps.

The source is way lower on Sutton than consensus. While he had a great season last year relative to his draft position, Jaylen Waddle is now in town and will be much better at earning targets than Sutton at this stage of his career.

Godwin is heading into a season coming off injury and will be 30 years old. He has a track record of WR1 and WR2 seasons but must compete with Emeka Egbuka for targets.

Pierce led the NFL in average depth of target last year. He will never be a 100-catch guy, and if he runs poorly on touchdowns, he will be undraftable.

Addison will finish second on the New Orleans Saints in targets. The source is a big Kellen Moore guy and thinks he is a phenomenally good play caller. Tyler Shough showed the source quite a bit last season, so the source is totally fine drafting Addison as the Saints' wide receiver two. Addison was the source's number one ranked prospect in his draft class. However, the source notes Addison was more efficient than Justin Jefferson last season, though the question is what direction the Minnesota Vikings offense will go—if Jefferson sees another 30% target share, there will be less opportunity for Addison.

Tate has the ability to lead the Tennessee Titans in targets. The source frames his value as dependent on buying into Brian Daboll and Cam Ward; if you do, the ranking is too low.

The source does not consider DJ Moore a target and views his ranking at 29 as charitable. He notes that Josh Allen had a 50-point fantasy game where none of his teammates scored over 20 points, illustrating Moore's lack of consistent volume and opportunity in the Bills offense.

When Marvin Harrison Jr. missed games, Michael Wilson was the overall wide receiver one; despite being uninvolved for the entire first half of the season, Wilson posted 33, 21, and 37 fantasy points in three games, averaging almost 13 fantasy points per game, which the source finds insane given his limited involvement.

Watson returned from a torn ACL in week eight and immediately became a starter, averaging 13.2 fantasy points per game. Green Bay simplified their wide receiver room to three starters—Watson, Matthew Golden, and Jayden Reed—which the source views as smart and beneficial for all Green Bay receivers.

Aiyuk is transitioning to a deep threat role and will play extensively in 12 and 11 personnel, but short-area targets are shifting to Parker Washington and Kendrick Bourne Myers; this role reduction is problematic because Aiyuk was generating significant yards after the catch with Mac Jones as a rookie.

Odunze posted 1.6 yards per route run for his career, mogged by Lu Burden. The source projects the Bears passing offense hierarchy as Burden, Loveland, then a pretty big gap, then Rome Odunze. Despite this ranking, the source sometimes drafts Odunze because of conviction in Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams.

The source frames Adams' value on a simple question: can he score 14 touchdowns again? He posted 6.9 yards per target and 1.95 yards per route run heading into his age 33-34 season. The source thinks he can generate those touchdowns but prefers younger options, suggesting skepticism about his efficiency and age-related decline.

Waddle has escaped Miami's depth chart competition with Tyreek Hill and is now the clear WR1 for Denver over Courtland Sutton. The source views his profile as needing only better quarterback play and compares his career trajectory to first- and second-round fantasy picks. He is available in the fifth round, which the source calls a huge discount and his favorite pick at that draft position. The source expects Waddle to be much better at earning targets than Sutton at this stage of Sutton's career.

Mike Evans is ranked at wide receiver 22 and is heading into his age 33 season; he was a little bit better than remembered last year, earning targets and having one big fantasy explosion game upon return. The source believes that even if Evans has lost some physical ability, playing in Kyle Shanahan's system will mask a ton of that decline, as Shanahan's wide receiver one has been a printing money factory for a long time.

Jameson Williams did not earn as much volume as expected last year, but when Dan Campbell took over calling plays in week nine, there was a huge shift in volume and overall fantasy scores; he was averaging over 7.5 targets per game in that stretch. The source is buying on Williams based on this increased target share and role change.

Ladarius Toney was awesome as a rookie but was getting mugged by 34-year-old Keenan Allen and Rondale Moore last season; Keenan Allen is 50/50 to be a Charger this upcoming season, and Rondale Moore is expected to be a big part of the offense with David Njoku brought in for 12 personnel. The source does not consider Toney a particular target in fantasy football right now.

Emeka Egbuka was phenomenal in his first six games but then got injured, played through the injury, and was outproduced by Jaylen McMillan down the stretch and later by Chris Godwin. The source does not consider him a particular target in fantasy football right now.

Garrett Wilson is projected for a 30% target share and 110 receptions, but the source considers him a target while acknowledging it would not be surprising if it does not work out given his status as a New York Jet.

The source is slightly lower on Tank Dell than the field due to offensive limitations with Bryce Young and the Panthers; Andy Dalton is gone and Kenny Pickett is the backup, so if Young gets benched or injured, things will be even worse. While Dell could overcome poor offense with sheer volume like Drake London, the source does not want to buy at that price.

The source is slightly lower on McMillan than the field, citing offensive limitations with the Panthers and Bryce Young; does not want to buy at the current price despite potential volume upside. Placed at the very end of the F tier in the top 50 rankings, indicating minimal fantasy value.

The source ranks Luther Burden very aggressively and considers him one of his overall top targets and favorite pick in the fourth round. Burden was an awesome prospect at Missouri with draft capital, broke out later in the year, and posted 2.82 yards per route run. The source believes he will outscore Rome Odunze and be one of the biggest stories of the 2026 fantasy football season.

Secondary receiver behind Ja'Marr Chase with limited upside. The source states 'Generally speaking, I am not a huge Tee Higgins guy. I think Tee Higgins is fine' and notes that 'Ja'Marr Chase is going to be the alpha there and so much of the results that you were going to see for Tee Higgins are going to be how many touchdowns does he score because the yardage production, the raw catch production, the raw target production is just not going to be there the same way it is because he plays with Ja'Marr Chase.' While Joe Burrow has averaged 18 PPG in past seasons, Chase's alpha status severely constrains Higgins' ceiling.

Elevated to number-one receiver role in Philadelphia's run-first offense following A.J. Brown's trade; the source states 'DeVonta Smith will now get to be the number one overall wide receiver in a run-first offense.' Projected to average 14-15 PPG, with difficulty reaching 16-18 range due to offensive scheme. The source suggests doubling up at wide receiver in rounds three or four given the ceiling constraints.

Achieved 20 PPR points per game for the first time in his career last year, finishing as WR8; the source expresses pride in this milestone: 'finally, for the very first time in his career, generated a 20 fantasy point per game last year. Very proud of him for doing that. Finishes the wide receiver eight.' Addition of Jordan Addison to the Saints offense should improve overall offensive competence and support Olave's production; the source states 'I think the addition of Jordan Addison is probably good for him because it just makes the offense a little bit more competent.' Olave is considered a target.

Age-related production decline risk at age 29; the source notes Brown is 'heading into a part of the age tree where we could see some downturn heading into his age 29 season.' Historical comps include players who experienced career downturns (Alshon Jeffery, Brandin Cooks, Jakobi Meyers, Nate Washington, Kenny Britt), though some maintained production. Trade to New England Patriots adds uncertainty. However, the source states 'I do really like AJ Brown. I think that playing with Drake May will be a general positive for him compared to playing in the lower volume offense in Philadelphia,' suggesting the QB change could provide some offset to age concerns.

Elite raw talent with 15 PPR points per game last year; the source notes 'Nico Collins is clearly I mean, he might even be better than this in terms of raw talent level.' Will dominate target share on Houston's offense. However, limited passing volume in Houston's run-first offense constrains ceiling—the source identifies the primary concern: 'The only issue that I have with Nico Collins and why I wouldn't consider him a prime target is I think that we could see the Houston Texans have the five like bottom five fewest passing attempts in all of football.' Despite dominating target share, he is 'a big fish in a small pond there.'

Ranked in third tier. Had the best year of his career finishing as WR6 in 2024, the first time away from Pittsburgh's terrible quarterback play and play-calling. The source is a huge fan and feels very good about drafting him even as a WR1 on some teams. Pickens' addition to Dallas will be additive to Lamb, not cannibalistic; ideal target share is 22–23% for Pickens. However, late-season effort concerns exist—the source expresses frustration with Pickens' apparent quit in the final games of 2024, particularly in Detroit and Minnesota matchups: 'I really hate that at the end of last year, he just seemingly gave up... these Detroit and these Minnesota games when he basically just stopped trying... Why why are you just quitting on these routes?'

Ranked in third tier. Definitely going to be a volume hog with at least 25% target share; could lead the entire NFL in target share given Atlanta Falcons roster competition. However, efficiency concerns limit upside—the source notes 'I have concerns about Drake London's efficiency. Like, he is not going to add a ton after the catch' and expresses broader concerns about the overall Falcons offense and potential subpar quarterback play.

ACL recovery trajectory is concerning and unclear, creating significant uncertainty around his 2026 fantasy outlook. The source notes 'very weird recovery from the ACL injury' with questionable updates on his surgery. Footage of him running at a celebrity softball game 'looked painful,' and the source expresses uncertainty about his health status, stating 'If you are a medical expert and you can figure things out with Malik Nabers, I mean, please share with me because I would love to know.' Despite injury concerns, Nabers represents a high-upside target in the third round if he returns healthy; the source expects a slow start to the season but projects significant upside if he reaches full health, stating 'if you start out in your league two and two and then you get a fully healthy Malik Nabers, man, you are going to feel great getting him in the third round of your drafts cuz he could easily be in the S tier or the A tier next year.' Would be a first-round pick if health were certain.

Suspension risk and legal concerns pose a significant threat to fantasy outlook. The source notes 'potential looming suspension' and expresses concern about Rice's personal conduct, stating 'the thing you have to worry with Rashee Rice is how serious is this guy taking his personal life because it seems like he basically just wants to commit a crime every other day.' When healthy, Rice ranks among the elite fantasy producers—he is top three in fantasy points per game over his most recent three seasons, with historical comps to Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, Cooper Kupp (pre-OPOY), Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Brandon Marshall—'the absolute best players in fantasy football.' However, his elite production is partly inflated by playing in Patrick Mahomes' offense, which generates 'fake fantasy football numbers.'

Ranked in second tier. Has a 23 fantasy points per game season. Requires Dak Prescott health and George Pickens to be additive on deep targets rather than cannibalistic. Ideal target share split is 28–30% for Lamb and 22–23% for Pickens to avoid both settling at 25%.

Ranked in second tier. Career finishes of WR4, WR5, WR3, and WR10; you know exactly what you're getting. Underrated as a touchdown scorer despite slot/lower aDOT profile; touchdown production is not a concern.

Ranked in second tier (alongside Amon-Ra St. Brown and CeeDee Lamb). Sixth overall ranked WR for his career; second all-time in NFL yards per game. Was first in the NFL by a country mile until JJ McCarthy and Maxx Crosby came into town. If Kyler Murray plays like the 11th best QB, Jefferson will pass Lamb and St. Brown and likely move into the top tier above JSN. The source is targeting him very heavily.

Ranked #2 WR overall. Most efficient wide receiver in fantasy football over the most recent two seasons; averages 6.5 yards per route run in 13 personnel, and career yards per route run above 3.0—better than Jerry Rice, Julio Jones, Randy Moss, and Calvin Johnson historically.

Ranked #1 WR overall. Has been the best wide receiver in fantasy football over the most recent three seasons; his ability to generate big plays after the catch separates him from everyone else, including Justin Jefferson at his absolute peak.

Bob Harris and Matt Waldman diverge on McCaffrey's 2024 workload. Harris projects McCaffrey will approach last year's 400+ touches and deliver 14–18 total touchdowns with 1,600–1,700 yards from scrimmage, positioning him as a top-five running back. Waldman is more conservative, estimating closer to 350 touches (not quite 400) and 14–18 total touchdowns. Waldman's hesitation stems from not yet being a believer in the 49ers' offensive line, though he acknowledges the addition of center Linderbaum as a positive boost. Harris cites the offensive line improvements and Linderbaum as a road-grading presence as supporting factors for a strong year, though he expresses some caution about pass protection.

Jeanty is mentioned in the context of running backs being discussed, though no specific fantasy take or projection is provided in this segment.

Harris is drawing high praise for his development during summer training and is making waves as a prospect. Bob Harris notes that 'Trey Harris at a viable price would be absolutely fantastic' for him, suggesting strong upside if he can be acquired at a reasonable cost.

Johnston is part of a strong one-two receiver punch with Ladd McConkey in the Chargers' Mike McDaniels offense. He has received good reviews during summer development and is positioned as a complementary option in an offense expected to pepper receivers with targets.

Waldman 'feels it' on McConkey being a top-10 fantasy wide receiver, citing Mike McDaniels' offensive system. He projects McConkey could see north of 150 targets this year, comparing his route-running ability to Tyreek Hill from McDaniels' Miami offense. McConkey and Quentin Johnston form a strong one-two receiver punch for the Chargers.

Tank Dell suffered a severe knee injury (ACL, MCL, LCL tears and kneecap dislocation) and sat out all of last year. Though he has made significant progress, he is still not ready to practice and is only running routes and cutting at less than full speed. The Texans are taking a patient approach with hopes he will ramp up in training camp. Waldman views him as a last-round flyer at best, noting 'we may have seen the best of Tank Dell' and preferring to invest in other players not coming off such a serious injury.

Waldman highlights Likely as an available late-round option going to a new opportunity, positioning him as a value play outside the top 12 tight end range.

Waldman highlights Okonkwo as an available late-round option getting a new opportunity, positioning him as a value play outside the top 12 tight end range.

Waldman believes Kelce 'has another good year' ahead despite coming off a tight end three season, though he prefers investing in younger players with higher upside rather than Kelce at his likely ADP.

Bob Harris prefers Mark Andrews over Sam LaPorta at tight end, stating he would take Andrews 'every day' rather than LaPorta. This reflects a value preference for Andrews as a more reliable option outside the premium tier, with Matt Waldman also recommending waiting on Andrews rather than investing in LaPorta at his current ADP.

Bob Harris calls Sam LaPorta's 2023 rookie breakout season his best ever and predicts decline. He worries about back injury durability, questions his ability to start and finish the season, and projects only 12 games with 40–50 catches, making him non-viable as a fantasy tight end despite being TE7 in PPG when healthy. LaPorta is being drafted around tight end 7–8 in current ADP, which is too high relative to his injury risk. Matt Waldman believes LaPorta is overpriced in the 7–8 round range and that 'we may have seen the best of Sam LaPorta,' preferring to wait on later-round tight end options like Mark Andrews.

MarShawn Lloyd has played only one game since arriving in 2024, dealing with chronic hamstring issues, appendicitis, and other health setbacks that have limited his availability and opportunity.

Matt Waldman ranks Caleb Williams fourth overall in superflex, ahead of Drake Maye, Joe Burrow, Jaylen Daniels, and Lamar Jackson, indicating strong conviction in his fantasy upside.

Bob Harris projects Chris Brooks as the number two back on the Packers, noting MarShawn Lloyd is not well-loved on the team and needs more proof of concept. Harris believes Brooks has excellent change of direction skills, terrific decision-making, and is a strong blocker and receiver. Harris projects Brooks could produce 150 carries and 600 yards as a backup, or if elevated to lead back, 240–260 carries for 1,200 yards in a one-off scenario, assuming the offensive line stays healthy.

Bob Harris believes Devin Duvernay could have been a more dynamic Danny Woodhead-type weapon if given the opportunity to line up out of the backfield as both a runner and receiver, as he did at Texas. However, Harris does not expect Arizona to deploy him this way unless multiple Cardinals backs (Jeremiah Love, Trey Benson, James Conner, Tyler Algier) are injured. At 28 years old, Duvernay's fantasy relevance in Arizona is limited by the team's depth chart and offensive scheme constraints.

Bob Harris projects Jakobi Meyers as a strong fantasy option in the Jaguars passing game with 1,000-yard potential. Meyers will get the most targets in the offense, operating over the middle and in shallow ranges as the dirty-work receiver. Harris has Meyers and Parker Washington close in projections with both having a chance to reach 1,000 yards.

Bob Harris projects Parker Washington as the Jaguars receiving leader with 1,000-yard potential. Washington has the best red zone rapport with Trevor Lawrence, is closest to 1,000 yards among Jaguars receivers, holds the touchdown lead, and will accumulate slightly more yards than Jakobi Meyers despite Meyers getting more targets, because Washington wins contested plays and has strong after-catch ability in intermediate zones.

Bob Harris projects Brian Thomas Jr. as the third-best receiver in the Jaguars passing game behind Parker Washington and Jakobi Meyers. Thomas and Trevor Lawrence are still working on deep-game chemistry and timing. Harris does not project Thomas as a 1,000-yard receiver despite his current ADP being slightly ahead of Parker Washington in drafts.

Bob Harris projects Barkley as a worthwhile RB1 despite zone-running scheme fit concerns in Philadelphia. Harris notes Barkley is a stronger gap runner than zone runner but has improved patience and footwork, and his consultation with Todd Gurley (who thrived in Sean McVay's zone scheme with the Rams) provides tactical homework that should help him adapt. Harris does not expect the bottom to fall out and maintains RB1 projection.

End-of-draft flyer with upside; unlike last year when reporters hyped him as the heart and soul of the offense, Freiermuth himself is now saying he likes the role he can have and it's up to him to make it happen. Projects as a potential red zone leader in touchdowns, which could elevate him to 500–600 yards with 8–10 touchdowns and make him a fantasy factor. Per Bob Harris, tight ends have been more impactful in Mike McCarthy's offenses than in Arthur Smith's (where 30 different tight ends were used).

Recommended as a waiver wire pickup; good slot receiver who offers value off waivers rather than in the draft. Per Bob Harris, Coleman is a solid slot receiver option to target on waivers.

Preferred Dolphins receiver pick if drafted inside the 15th round; represents value at that draft position among Miami's receiving options. Per Bob Harris, Atwell is the preferred Dolphins receiver target at that ADP.

Dolphins want to use Willis as a Jordan Love-esque player with more rushing upside but less passing upside; projects for 3,000–3,200 passing yards, 20 touchdowns, and 700–800 rushing yards; will rely on shorter passes over the middle with catch rates in the 50–60% range rather than the gaudy 10–12 yards per attempt efficiency he showed in limited games.

Tore his Achilles this week, which impacts his availability for special teams and any potential offensive role with the Giants.

Contract and role fit concerns with the Giants; Beckham will have contract desires while the Giants have specific role desires, and it's unclear whether those two things will align, making a signing seem like a huge reach. Per Bob Harris, the misalignment between what Beckham wants and what the Giants need creates fundamental uncertainty about whether the two parties can find common ground.

Malachi Fields' breakout timeline is identified as a key variable affecting the Giants' receiving corps hierarchy. The speed of his emergence will determine whether Calvin Austin solidifies a top-2 role or if the receiving targets are distributed more evenly across the group.

Malik Nabers' recovery from injury is not progressing as ideally as hoped, and he is not projected to be an immediate starter for the Giants. His recovery trajectory is less favorable than comparable situations. Post-injury, Nabers may need to transition from his pre-injury speedy, quick-twitch profile to a more DeVante Adams-like receiver style, which could take time to acclimate to.

Darnell Mooney had a lackluster 2024 season and has been inconsistent ('up and down at times'). His poor prior-year performance creates opportunity for other Giants receivers like Calvin Austin to emerge, as Mooney is not expected to be a reliable receiving option in 2025.

Bob Harris projects Calvin Austin III to be the Giants' leading receiver in 2025. Harris notes Austin's versatility—can play outside and inside—and sees a clear path for him to finish as one of the top-2 receivers on the team in targets, receptions, and yardage, potentially filling a Wan'Dale Robinson-type role in the offense. The timeline depends on how quickly Malachi Fields breaks out.

Bob Harris rejects a Keon Coleman breakout scenario for 2025, stating 'I don't think that's happening.' While Harris doesn't expect Coleman to have a bad season in terms of efficiency, he does not believe Coleman will emerge as a top-2 receiver on the Bills. Harris suggests Coleman might be better suited as a big slot receiver elsewhere, indicating limited upside in Buffalo's receiving hierarchy.

Dalton Kincaid played only 37% of snaps last season, indicating the Bills don't trust him to stay on the field. Despite being identified as a top-3 receiving option for Buffalo alongside Moore and Shakir, his limited snap availability raises significant concerns about consistent fantasy production and his ability to maintain a featured role.

Bob Harris projects DJ Moore as the Bills' WR1 in targets, yards, and touchdowns, though not by as large a margin as his Carolina days given the depth of Buffalo's receiving talent. Harris is uncertain whether Moore reaches 1,000 yards in 2025 and does not expect a 1,400-yard or even 1,200-yard season. Joe Brady's offensive philosophy emphasizes spreading the ball to open receivers rather than forcing targets to any single player, which successfully lowered Josh Allen's interception rate. Despite the volume concerns, Harris views Moore as the preferred Bills receiver to draft and not overpriced at current market value.

Bob Harris identifies Khalil Shakir as one of the Bills' top-3 receiving options alongside DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid, with no huge separation expected in receiving categories among the three. Shakir could have the edge on Moore in receptions despite Moore being the Bills' target and yardage leader, reflecting the depth and distribution of targets in Buffalo's receiving corps under Joe Brady's scheme, which emphasizes spreading the ball to open receivers rather than forcing targets to any single player.

JJ Zachariason's #1 sleeper TE pick for 2026. Likely, 26 years old, was acquired by New York from Baltimore and has shown flashes of big production when Mark Andrews was injured in Baltimore. His off-script playmaking ability pairs well with Jackson Dart's scrambling tendencies. Zachariason projects Likely as a top-5 TE in targets even with Malik Nabers fully healthy, and potentially the #2 target in New York if Nabers is healthy. Critically, Nabers is expected to start the year on the PUP list, giving Likely an early-season volume advantage with 8–10 targets per game to build ADP value. Currently TE14 on Underdog/FFPC/NFFC; Zachariason expects him to be more expensive in 2027 and "looked back on as a player that was a really good pick for you to make this year."

JJ Zachariason's #2 sleeper TE pick for 2026. Kincaid posted 73 catches as a rookie in 2023 (Bills record), then disappointed in 2024 with only 44 catches despite steaming up significantly in ADP and failing to justify the elevated draft capital; he also had only two touchdown grabs in 2023 despite the high catch total, limiting ceiling upside. However, Zachariason projects a breakout: Kincaid dealt with a PCL injury in 2025 that didn't require off-season surgery, is now fully healthy, and reports feeling "the best he's felt in his entire career." With DJ Moore newly acquired as the #1 target, Kincaid projects as the #2 target in Buffalo's passing game with potential for 91–100+ targets, matching his rookie 91-target pace. Currently going as TE13, making him the cheapest way to stack with Josh Allen compared to James Cook or DJ Moore correlations.

Oronde Gadsden is available as TE16 overall and represents a major ADP win opportunity. John Harbaugh and Greg Roman compared Gadsden to Mark Andrews, indicating high organizational confidence. JJ Zachariason notes the fantasy community may be fading Gadsden. Mike McDaniel's track record as a tight end whisperer supports Gadsden's upside: Darren Waller was a huge waiver-wire add last year, and Jonnu Smith was one of the best waiver-wire tight end adds the year before. Gadsden has demonstrated spike-week ability with Justin Herbert and can make plays downfield, though the sample size is small. Zachariason suggests Gadsden could have similar usage to Darren Waller or Jonnu Smith, which would make him a possible flex play with major upside at a cheap cost.

Quentin Johnston has fallen from TE9-10 ADP before the NFL draft to TE16 as of late May, creating a low bar for him to exceed expectations. JJ Zachariason attributes the market fade to the David Njoku signing but notes Njoku will be 30 years old and did not perform well last year. Zachariason expects Johnston to operate as the move tight end with juice in the Chargers offense, with potential to be a league-winner. Johnston produced 660 receiving yards in a small sample size last year, which exceeds David Njoku's receiving yardage in almost every season of Njoku's career (Njoku achieved that yardage total only two or three times maximum). This production comparison supports Johnston's upside in year two.

JJ Zachariason identifies Chig Okonkwo as a featured sleeper with opportunity to be the number two target on the Washington Commanders at TE19 ADP. Okonkwo has posted three consecutive 50-plus reception seasons on poor Tennessee offenses (54, 52, 56 catches) with consistently low touchdown totals (1, 2, 2 TDs). Now paired with Jayden Daniels, the best quarterback of his career, Zachariason projects Okonkwo for 70 receptions this year, achievable as less than one additional reception per game from his 56-catch 2024 baseline. Zachariason notes Okonkwo's quasi-homecoming to Maryland (University of Maryland alum, Commanders play in Landover, Maryland—same county, 15-minute drive). Risk: Stefon Diggs signing would heavily diminish the number two target thesis. Zachariason describes the TE19 price as 'absolutely right' for a player with 70-catch upside and potential top-15 tight end finish.

JJ Zachariason targets Brenton Strange as a potential breakout candidate at TE20 ADP. Strange posted 46 catches, 540 receiving yards, and 3 TDs in 12 games last year; back-to-back seasons with 40+ receptions. Zachariason projects Strange for 65 receptions, 800 receiving yards, and 7 touchdowns in his fourth season. While Strange requires taking him ahead of proven names like Juwan Johnson, T.J. Hockenson, and Dalton Schultz, Zachariason argues that Jacksonville's wide receivers (Parker Washington, Brian Thomas Jr., Zay Jones, Christian Kirk) will cannibalize each other's targets, allowing Strange to profit as a consistent target option. He compares Strange's upside to a Tucker Kraft-like bet in the Jacksonville offense, especially for correlation with Trevor Lawrence. Strange's cheaper ADP relative to Jacksonville's wide receivers makes him an attractive late-round target.

JJ Zachariason presents Terrance Ferguson as a dark horse sleeper TE with elite athleticism and second-round draft capital (2024). Currently TE30 ADP, cheaper than Eli Stowers. Ferguson had only 11 catches and 3 TDs in year one but will see significant field time in Rams' heavy personnel packages (12 and 13 personnel). Beat reporters indicate Ferguson looks like the TE1 on the Rams. With the Rams ranking first in TE TD catches and fifth in TE targets last year, Ferguson could consolidate targets if the team streamlines usage. Zachariason calls him a great best ball pick at TE30 price, noting it's not out of the question that Ferguson becomes fantasy viable this year.

JJ Zachariason, a self-described 'big Quez Watkins stan,' projects significant role expansion for Watkins following AJ Brown's anticipated trade around June 1. Watkins is expected to assume a major offensive role in Philadelphia, though other analysts at Fantasy Points are fading him at current ADP.

JJ Zachariason assesses Dallas Goedert as healthy and not a fade candidate despite Eli Stowers' backup role and injury-upside potential. Goedert remains the clear starter ahead of Stowers on the depth chart, with his role secure and health stable. Stowers' upside is contingent on Goedert injury only.

JJ Zachariason highlights Eli Stowers as a fun best ball pick with contingent upside in redraft; ADP is TE29 on Underdog with similar pricing on DraftKings and FFPC. As a second-round pick, Stowers has injury-upside breakout potential behind Dallas Goedert; his situation mirrors Trey McBride's 2023 breakout (behind Zach Ertz) and Albert Okwuegbunam's 2024 emergence (behind David Njoku). If Goedert suffers injury, Stowers becomes an instant TE1 in fantasy football. Even without injury, Stowers has a path to a top-six, top-seven finish on a per-game basis in the second half of the season. The AJ Brown trade (expected around June 1) could open up more two-TE sets in the Eagles offense, creating additional opportunity for Stowers.

Sean Tucker is viewed as a valuable addition in the trade, contributing to the overall quality of the return alongside LaQuint Allen and future draft picks.

LaQuint Allen becomes a valuable asset when George Kittle is unavailable, making him a worthwhile addition in tight end premium leagues as a handcuff.

George Kittle's presence on a roster affects tight end handcuff value, making LaQuint Allen less valuable in tight end premium leagues where Kittle is the starter.

DeMond Claiborne is the host's 'absolute favorite guy to draft in the third round of Dynasty rookie drafts,' indicating strong conviction in his value at that draft position.

Fernando Mendoza was drafted after Carnell Tate in recent startup drafts, indicating lower draft capital and perceived value compared to Tate.

Carnell Tate has no meaningful target competition in Tennessee and is rising in projections. He was drafted ahead of Fernando Mendoza in recent startups and is now a top-10 wide receiver prospect.

Wandale Robinson is dismissed as target competition for Carnell Tate in Tennessee, with the host explicitly stating he has never cared about Robinson and does not view him as a meaningful threat.

Jordan Mason is viewed unfavorably by the host, who is 'way out' on him as a fantasy asset, suggesting limited confidence in his long-term value.

Chuba Hubbard's efficiency is poor, making him a light return in trades. The host is not confident in his fantasy value compared to other running back options.

The NFL is unlikely to suspend Josh Jacobs unless he is sentenced, as the league has shifted to letting the legal system play out before taking action, unlike their approach five years ago.

Josh Jacobs is 28 years old at the back end of his prime with declining fantasy value. At best, he projects as RB8-RB9 with 15.8 fantasy points per game, making him a depreciating asset.

Josh Jacobs faced legal troubles including allegations of strangulation and property damage, causing his value to plummet. The host traded him away for a 2027 first, 2027 second, Sean Tucker, and LaQuint Allen—a deal that would be impossible to replicate in the current market.

Zay Flowers has been the only Ravens receiver outside of Hollywood Brown to succeed in the offense, with Hollywood Brown having 140 targets in one season and a top-15 finish.

Analyst notes Lamar Jackson's hamstring hasn't been the same since his injury, but he can still win from the pocket, having posted the highest passer rating season of all time two years ago with 40 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.

Analyst believes Mark Andrews is 'done' and no longer the dominant middle-of-field threat he once was, having declined since his car accident and ankle injury.

Surratt's college profile shows extensive outside usage, but he's also a ball winner with insane career production (44 touchdowns), and the narrative about him not separating is countered by his ability to win contested balls.

Ravens drafted Jacoby Lane ahead of Surratt, who is the more prototypical outside X receiver, while Surratt is expected to operate in the slot role.

Second analyst agrees Surratt is a strong call and has been targeting him in late second and third rounds of rookie drafts, noting there aren't many other exciting options in this class so taking a player you're excited about makes sense.

If Surratt gets 80% snap share in the slot role, analyst expects to see 'a lot of good things from him' given his ability to sell routes, great hands, and adequate athleticism (4.45 40-time at pro day).

Analyst is 'smashing' Surratt in late second and third round rookie drafts, noting he can be acquired in the third round sometimes and represents excellent value given his profile and the lack of exciting options in this draft class.

Ravens GM Costa indicated Surratt is 'really, really good on the inside' despite his extensive outside usage in college, suggesting he's multifunctional and could fill the intermediate field role in a Sean Payton offense.

Analyst projects Surratt will succeed in the slot role similar to how players like Arashi Rice and Juju Smith-Schuster succeeded after being moved inside, noting his 83.3% success rate vs zone coverage (second best in class).

Analyst expects Surratt to fill a big slot role in the Ravens offense under new OC Declan Doyle, who has more Sean Payton influence (less 12 personnel) than Ben Johnson, which is conducive to slot usage. There's been smoke of Surratt in this role.

Analyst is very bullish on Surratt as a breakout candidate, highlighting his elite college production (44 touchdowns, 179 first downs) and strong analytics (12.5% first down per route run, 23% target per route run, 2.6 yards per route run).

Analyst acknowledges Pickens is 'crazy as a cat in the room' and volatile, noting he initially tried to ignore this behavior but has come to accept it as a real factor affecting his consistency.

Analyst is a detractor on Pickens, noting he gets in his own way mentally and is volatile on the field, though he acknowledges Pickens' talent. The analyst prefers trading Pickens for players like Carnell Tate.

Kyler Murray is a huge sell right now; the host recommends trading him away from any roster if possible.

Corum has a growing role in the Rams offense, making him a valuable asset that the host was reluctant to trade away in the mega-trade.

Collins could drop off this season as Jaden Higgins pushes for the number-one role in the Texans offense, and at his age, his value is at risk of declining.

Jefferson's value is at risk of declining further if he has another WR7-8 finish this season; currently a back-end first-round to middle-second-round startup pick, his value will likely drop further entering his age-28 season if he doesn't return to top-five form.

WR20-21 who moved up three spots after an amazing training camp catch; analyst's favorite wide receiver pick who will see increased opportunity with Mike Evans gone, but warns his stock will continue rising toward second-round range by season start.

Dropped from 2-3 ADP to 3-4 ADP and becomes the alpha receiver if Keenan Allen isn't re-signed; analyst recommends drafting him as a reliable clutch option for Justin Herbert.

Despite being ranked top 10-12 receiver on consensus rankings, analyst believes he's not ready and is struggling; Giants' desperation to meet with Odell Beckham Jr. indicates Nabers won't deliver this season.

WR90 sleeper with reliable hands and 50-50 ball ability; analyst recommends stashing him early as the Giants' first-round pick who will step up with Malik Nabers struggling and potential Odell Beckham Jr. addition indicating desperation at the position.

First-round pick with amazing red zone ability and reliable hands who will dominate the Titans' wide receiver room; analyst projects 95% snap share and believes he offers WR30 value that beats higher-ranked receivers like T. Higgins.

Josh Downs has more upside than projections indicate, though the analyst acknowledges that with JSN, Amon-Ra, Evans, and Addison already on the roster, the pick may not have been necessary.

Nailor is identified as a player with inconsistent, up-and-down production that the analyst would avoid in a wide receiver-heavy build lacking running back depth.

Amon-Ra is highlighted as one of the most stable receivers with reliable baseline production each week, making him an ideal target in wide receiver-heavy draft builds when running backs are scarce.

Identified as a top-seven wide receiver with consistent baseline production, making him a cornerstone of the RB0 wide receiver-heavy draft strategy.

Identified as a potential top-seven wide receiver option in the draft strategy, contributing to a strong wide receiver core.

Referenced as a top-end quarterback option in the draft strategy discussed, though no specific projection or analysis is provided.

Cited as an ideal early wide receiver target for RB0 builds due to consistent baseline production and lower variance compared to typical top receivers.

Identified as a top-seven wide receiver with consistent baseline production and low variance, making him ideal for early wide receiver-heavy draft strategies.

Positioned as a potential breakout candidate in year two if the offense utilizes his speed and ability to get open in the seam as a mismatch.

Described as likely to 'crush everyone's soul yet again,' suggesting a pattern of disappointing fantasy performance despite opportunity.

Mentioned as a totally fine bet in late-round drafting, though unlikely to break out immediately.

Received 10 opportunities in the offense and could be a waiver wire or free agency target in week one if he breaks out, but unlikely to produce immediately.

Positioned as a fallback tight end option if a younger prospect doesn't develop, with the strategy of taking two shots at tight end late in the draft.

Tank Bigsby is a fine bet but likely needs an injury to break out; not expected to break out right away.

Keeton Mitchell is a fine bet but likely needs an injury to break out; worth monitoring on waivers in week one if he gets significant opportunities.

Pacheco isn't used enough by the Chiefs to be trustworthy as a draft pick.

The Ravens really like the rookie tight end they drafted and want him to play a decent amount, which could limit Mark Andrews' role.

The Browns brought in David Njoku, raising questions about whether he will eat into red zone opportunities for other tight ends like Gadsden.

Uncertainty about Likely's role on the Giants; unclear what the team expects from him and whether it will work out.

The Eagles have the number one passing schedule this season, which is a positive factor for Goedert.

Concern that if the Eagles go to 12 personnel and need a tight end to block, Goedert will be on the sideline since Stowers can't block, limiting his route-running opportunities.

If A.J. Brown is gone and Goedert stays healthy with a good red zone role, he could have a strong season; getting him at picks 11-12 is reasonable value.

Evans is selected as a flex option with some uncertainty about his performance, with Addison and Downs viewed as trustworthy alternatives if Evans underperforms.

Wandale Robinson is part of a lower tier of wide receivers with a notable drop-off in value compared to Addison and Downs.

Golden is liked a decent amount but still carries some risk, placing him below the tier of Addison and Downs.

If A.J. Brown joins the Eagles, it would reduce Josh Downs' value and upside significantly.

Downs has a lot of upside if Daniel Jones stays healthy, with the analyst identifying a tier break between Downs and the next tier of wide receivers.

Downs is hoping to play more on the outside this season, which would unlock great wide receiver talent and significant upside if that role change materializes.

Warren is the preferred pick over Gainwell at this draft spot because Gainwell may still be available in the next round.

Warren is going a lot later than he was last season despite still being a talented player with potential to progress into year two.

Cook gets injured every single season, creating injury risk concerns and opportunity for backup running backs like Harvey to see increased usage.

Harvey makes sense at this spot because Gainwell might still be available at the next pick, and Harvey is going a lot later than he was last year.

The analyst would not invest in Kincaid in this spot, preferring to get similar value very late in the draft.

The analyst would not invest in Freiermuth in this spot, preferring to get similar value very late in the draft.

Warren might not be the best value in the fifth round, depending on the situation.

Kmet is one of the early tight ends the analyst targets in their early-or-late tight end strategy.

Loveland is one of the early tight ends the analyst targets in their early-or-late tight end strategy.

Bowers is one of the early tight ends the analyst targets in their early-or-late tight end strategy.

McBride is one of the early tight ends the analyst targets in their early-or-late tight end strategy.

Addison is a solid pick in this range alongside other wide receivers, though the analyst devalues the position due to heavy WR investment earlier.

Michael Wilson is a solid pick in this range alongside other wide receivers.

Parker Washington is a solid pick in this range alongside other wide receivers.

Bryan Thomas is a solid pick in this range alongside other wide receivers.

Gainwell might still be available at the next pick and the analyst really likes him, though Manongai is preferred here.

Harvey is clearly one of the top two options in this range alongside Manongai.

In a build like this, Dobbins makes sense because to start the year he's going to be really good and probably healthy as the starter.

Dobbins was the RB1 last season and was paid to return; if healthy, he'll likely play over RJ Harvey and could be the starter to begin the season.

Gainwell is still available at pick 84 and the analyst really likes his opportunity there as a good bench option.

Harvey is still available at pick 84 and is a good bench option with underlying talent; if Dobbins has another season-ending injury, Harvey could break out.

Warren and other running backs in this range might sit longer than expected when teams go heavy on RB early, making them good bench options at pick 84 (7/12).

Pollard is one of only three running backs taken in the early rounds of this draft scenario.

Warren is one of only three running backs taken in the early rounds of this draft scenario.

LaPorta is gone by the time the draft reaches the tight end position in this scenario.

Pitts is gone by the time the draft reaches the tight end position in this scenario.

Montgomery is still changing teams, creating theoretical uncertainty about his role and fit despite general optimism.

The analyst would not draft Amon-Ra St. Brown early due to stack risk, specifically not wanting to stack him with another player from the same team.

Woody Marks is described as fine but not someone the team really wants to give a ton of touches to, and definitely not someone they'll give a lot of goal-line touches to.

The analyst doesn't love D'Andre Swift this season despite the Bears' offensive improvements with Ben Johnson, believing the passing offense will benefit more than Swift if the offense clicks.

Kenneth Gainwell is described as a great talent who the team really likes, with the team indicating there will be weeks where it's unclear who gets more touches between him and Saquon Barkley.

The analyst is very worried that Saquon Barkley is still recovering from his injury and would drop him in the rankings, making him unavailable for early draft consideration.

Josh Allen was drafted in round three.

Brock Bowers was drafted in round three as one of the top three tight ends taken off the board.

Trey McBride was drafted in round three as one of the top three tight ends taken off the board.

Colston Loveland was drafted in round three as one of the top three tight ends taken off the board.

Cam Akers was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Treyveon Henderson (Treyveon) was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Javonte Williams was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Kyren Williams (Kyren) was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Breece Hall was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Josh Jacobs was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Aaron Jones (Love) was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Kenneth Walker III was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Derrick Henry was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

Raheem Mostert (Achane) was drafted in round three as part of a running back run.

De'Andre Washington (Collins) was drafted in a five-pick wide receiver run in round two.

Rashee Rice was drafted in a five-pick wide receiver run in round two.

Malik Nabers was drafted in a five-pick wide receiver run in round two.

George Pickens was drafted in a five-pick wide receiver run in round two.

Drake London was drafted in a five-pick wide receiver run in round two.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was selected as part of the team-building strategy when running backs were being avoided early.

Justin Jefferson was drafted in a five-pick wide receiver run in round two, part of a stretch that included Collins, Drake London, George Pickens, Malik Nabers, and Rashee Rice.

CeeDee Lamb is described as one of two incredible players who are without a shadow of doubt the focal point of their offense.

Brown's absence is cited as a reason for concern about the Eagles offense and Saquon Barkley's value.

Smith is mentioned as a potential injury concern that could impact the Eagles offense and Saquon Barkley's value.

Bigsby is mentioned as a concern for Saquon Barkley's workload in the Eagles backfield.

Lamb is mentioned as an alternative wide receiver option the analyst could have chosen at pick 12 if he were a huge fan.

St. Brown is highlighted as an awesome wide receiver option with great strength of schedule and is the focal point of his offense, making him a strong pick at pick 12.

Hurts was drafted in the early rounds in this mock draft simulation where running backs were taken heavily.

Brown was drafted in the early rounds in this mock draft simulation where running backs were taken heavily.

Cook was drafted in the early rounds in this mock draft simulation where running backs were taken heavily.

Achane is positioned as a strong reach target in early rounds if running backs are being drafted heavily, with the analyst saying he would take him at pick 12 in a league he cares about.

The analyst expresses concerns about drafting Barkley early, citing worries about workload, Tank Bigsby competition, and Eagles offense stability after losing A.J. Brown.

McCaffrey is mentioned as one of the elite early-round running back targets in a running-back-heavy draft strategy.

Taylor is mentioned as one of the elite early-round running back targets in a running-back-heavy draft strategy.

Robinson is mentioned as one of the elite early-round running back targets in a running-back-heavy draft strategy.

Gibson is mentioned as one of the elite early-round running back targets in a running-back-heavy draft strategy.

Nacua is highlighted as a potential value pick that could fall to late first round in a running-back-heavy draft environment.

Chase is positioned as a potential value pick that could fall to late first round in a running-back-heavy draft environment.

The analyst's most drafted running back with an average pick of 17.8 (middle of the second round), reflecting his preference to start with a wide receiver in round one and then target Chase Brown in round two.

Chase Brown has had back-to-back seasons as a bellcow, playing 16+ games in consecutive seasons, establishing him as a workhorse running back.

Chase Brown is being undervalued in fantasy drafts similar to how Aaron Jones was historically underrated despite consistent top-five finishes; the analyst has him ranked over Derrick Henry and Kenneth Walker.

Chase Brown finished the second half of the season once Joe Burrow returned with 21.2 fantasy points per game, ranking as the RB3, and the analyst projects him to be a round one caliber running back.

Swift is the better receiving back in the Chicago Bears backfield and has had at least three targets per game in every year of his NFL career, making him a very safe investment.

The Chicago Bears project to be the 10th best offense in the NFL with no added backfield competition, supporting Swift's value.

Swift is the clear receiving back in Chicago's backfield over Kyle Munungwe, with at least three targets per game in every year of his NFL career, making him a very safe investment.

Swift is being drafted as RB23 at his historical low, having never finished lower than RB24 in his NFL career, making him a safe value pick.

The Denver Broncos project to be a below-average offense this year, scoring fewer points than last season (22.5 vs 23.5 PPG), which is a concern for Harvey's upside.

Harvey's rookie season comps include DeAndre Swift, Rashad White, and James Cook—five of whom nearly doubled their points per game year-over-year, suggesting significant upside if Harvey reaches 13+ PPG.

Harvey broke out in the second half of his rookie season, jumping from 7.9 to 15.1 fantasy points per game and finishing as RB14, and is now being drafted as RB31 despite this improvement.

Achane is being drafted behind Saquon Barkley despite being younger (24 vs 29) and stepping into his prime, making him a better value in round two.

Achane is being drafted as RB8 in the second round but can return value despite Miami's worse offense and Malik Willis's limited checkdowns, as he's the only weapon and can still produce based on volume even if his receiving yards decline.

Despite offensive decline, Achane is priced in a range where he can underperform relative to last season and still return value as a second-round pick based on his volume and status as the team's only weapon.

The Dolphins offense projects to be worse this season (18.9 PPG vs. 20.5 PPG last year), and author expects Achane's receiving yards (averaging 29 per game) will likely decline due to worse quarterback play with Malik Willis.

Despite the Dolphins offense projecting to be worse this season, Achane is being priced as RB8 in the top of the second round while averaging 18.5 PPG over his career—nearly identical to Bejian Robinson (18.8) and Jir Gibbs (19.8), who go in the first round.

Pollard's ADP has risen from author's average draft cost of pick 83.5 to a current ADP of 77.5, making him slightly tougher to acquire at the original price point.

Pollard has a three-down workload and looked better at the end of the season than early in the year, with limited competition from a day-three rookie pick who broke his foot in the offseason.

The Titans are projected to improve from 16.7 PPG in 2025 to 20.34 PPG in 2026 (a 3.5 point jump), one of the largest offensive improvements projected, which should benefit Pollard's fantasy output.

Tony Pollard was horrible last year, consistently seeing 20+ opportunities but scoring only nine fantasy points per game.

The analyst is buying the dip on Kyren Williams, trusting the historical data over early-May concerns about his usage.

Historical comparisons (Frank Gore, James Cook, Joe Mixon, Mark Ingram, Marshon Lynch, Latavius Murray, Lamar Miller, Chuba Hubbard, Javante Williams) show that running backs with similar age-25 seasons to Kyren's typically improve the following year, with only Chuba Hubbard falling off.

Kyren Williams is the starter in the Rams offense, which projects to be the number one scoring offense in the league this season (30.5 PPG projected).

Despite snap share concerns, Kyren Williams is being drafted in the fourth round (pick 36.9 average) while other backs with similar snap shares go much earlier, representing significant value.

Kyren Williams' snap share dropped from 88% in 2024 to 70% this past season, with Blake Corum expanding his role in Los Angeles.

Henderson was the running back the Patriots trusted in the NFL playoffs, but he may still be a committee back with Madre Stevenson, and the author expresses regret about drafting him given the team's offensive regression.

The New England Patriots project to regress significantly this season with an implied team total of 22.9 PPG (down from 28.8 last year), the worst regression in the NFL, which makes Henderson's cost harder to justify if he remains a committee back.

Henderson showed significant improvement from his first to second half of his rookie season, jumping from 6.6 PPG to 17.1 PPG, and had three games with 20+ fantasy points in his rookie year.

Henderson has an ADP of 48.8 and the author has drafted him in 13 of 100+ drafts at an average cost of 48.12, viewing him as undervalued relative to his upside.

Isaiah Likely is expected to receive 8-10 targets early in the season with Malik Neighbors on the PUP list, providing a fast start to the year.

Isaiah Likely is poised for a breakout year in New York as a natural pass catcher and move tight end who will see increased opportunity early in the season with Malik Neighbors likely starting on the PUP list.

Isaiah Likely is currently tight end 14 in ADP but will be more expensive heading into the 2027 season, representing a significant ADP win at his current draft cost.

Isaiah Likely is projected to be a top five tight end in terms of targets this year, even with Malik Neighbors fully healthy, due to his ability to make plays off-script when Jackson Dart scrambles.

Cam Skattebo (RB, NYG) is #43 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 43.3 with a 170.7-point projection. Verdict: Fantasy RB1 if healthy but a dislocated ankle complicates. It'll be the same top-3 RBs for the Giants, which led to Skattebo running away with bellcow touches before a dislocated ankle ended a potential rookie of the year season. He was the RB9 on RB15 usage when he went down. Dislocated ankles typically do not result in missed games the following season, but skill players like Dak Prescott and Tony Pollard have had dips in efficiency in their returning season.

Malik Nabers (WR, NYG) is #35 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 31.5 with a 189.6-point projection. Verdict: Nabers on pace to miss September but 2026 NYG projects better. Nabers is more likely than not to miss all of September as a PUP candidate after needing a clean-up procedure for a meniscus that was locking up. That's right, this wasn't a clean ACL tear, which adds to the risk. This video of him jogging to 1st base in a celebrity softball game certainly didn't help ease the tension: That said, you don't get 0 fantasy points in your starting lineup without Nabers, and it's a personal problem if you can't get some WR points in Weeks 1-4 while Nabers is on...

DeVonta Smith (WR, PHI) is #28 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 28.2 with a 179.1-point projection. Verdict: Smith is the WR3 in YPG w/o AJB since 2022 (small sample alert). J. Brown gone, Smith is the clear-cut WR1 for the first time since he broke as a rookie in 2021. 0).

A.J. Brown (WR, NE) is #21 overall in Hayden Winks' 2026 Half-PPR rankings vs. Underdog ADP 21.1 with a 193.8-point projection. Verdict: AJB steps into Adams role in McDaniels' offense, this time with MVP-caliber QB. AJB started off and ended his 2025 season mad, but do not discount what he did in the middle of the year. In total, Brown was half PPR's WR15 on WR17 usage, when the Eagles bottomed out to the tune of finishing 23rd in passing yards, 22nd in passing success rate, and 19th in points per game. 5) and success rate (50%), while playing in a very static X position in an extra boring/predictable offense.

Zay Flowers is projected for a career-high 130 targets, averaging 7.6 targets per game, which could lead to a top 12 finish among wide receivers.

Zay Flowers is projected to have a career-high target share of 30% with the potential for increased passing attempts under the new offensive coordinator. His talent is recognized, but concerns remain about his target volume and red zone usage.

A.J. Brown averaged 18.6 PPR fantasy points per game in his last seven games of the 2023 season, indicating he can still be a top performer. However, concerns about the passing volume in the new offense could impact his overall production.

In his four-year career, Chris Olave has finished as wide receiver 27, 21, 55, and 7 per game, indicating a significant fluctuation in performance. His projected stats for 2023 are 87 catches, 1,123 yards, and five touchdowns.

Chris Olave has some bust potential due to increased competition for targets with rookie Jordan Tyson, who is viewed as a better prospect than Rasheed Shaheed. Olave averaged 14.1 PPR points with Shaheed and 20.2 PPR points after Shaheed was traded, raising concerns about his target volume moving forward.

DJ Moore is experiencing growing pains in the new offense with Buffalo but remains optimistic about his future performance.

Garrett Wilson is viewed positively in the context of the Jets' offense, with optimism about his potential performance this season.

Devontae Smith's value may increase if A.J. Brown is traded, as he could become the primary target in the Eagles' offense.

Zay Flowers has shown potential but is not considered a safe pick due to his inconsistent performance in previous seasons.

Chris Olave is viewed with skepticism due to concerns about his performance and the offensive situation, with one analyst suggesting he could be a bust this season.

Rasheed Rice is expected to be ready for training camp following knee surgery, and Andy Reid has indicated that there will likely be no suspension for him.

A.J. Brown's potential trade to the Patriots is a topic of discussion, but the situation remains uncertain as the Eagles and Patriots are reportedly not close to a deal.

Devontae Smith is anticipated to step up as a number one receiver, especially with A.J. Brown's targets now available.

The loss of A.J. Brown is expected to impact Jalen Hurts' performance, potentially lowering his draft position.

Concerns about A.J. Brown's efficiency have been raised, particularly regarding his career-low yards after catch per reception.

Despite dealing with injuries last season, A.J. Brown is still considered a very good football player.

He averaged 9.3 targets per game in his last six games last season, indicating a strong potential for high usage in the Patriots' offense.

A.J. Brown's trade to the Patriots is seen as a win for him, potentially increasing his target share compared to his time in Philadelphia.

Malik Willis is considered a good fantasy pick due to his low cost, making him an intriguing option for those looking for value at quarterback.

Jaden Daniels has the potential to return to his rookie form, which was impressive and not fluky. The previous season's struggles are viewed as an aberration, and he is expected to be a strong fantasy option moving forward.

Malik Willis is considered a fun sleeper for fantasy this year due to his speed and potential for rushing production.

Jaden Daniels is highlighted as a potential buy-low candidate with elite rushing upside, having recorded 891 rushing yards as a rookie.

Matthew Stafford's 46 touchdown passes last year rank as the sixth most in NFL history, showcasing his potential for high production.

Dak Prescott is viewed as a potential candidate to break the single-season touchdown record due to the offensive talent around him.

Joe Burrow is considered a candidate to potentially break the single-season touchdown record, especially with a high-octane offense.

There are concerns about Matthew Stafford's health, particularly regarding his back, which has led the Rams to draft Ty Simpson.