NFL fantasy football news and player signals for Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Honest question: Who looked faster on film in 2025: Caleb Williams or Lamar Jackson? (Lamar cut-up can be found below this tweet)

Honest question: Who looked faster on film in 2025: Caleb Williams or Lamar Jackson? (Lamar cut-up can be found below this tweet)

Caleb Williams might legitimately be the fastest QB in the league lol <

Just a reminder that Colston Loveland had a 3 game stretch toward the end of last season with: 6 REC + 94 Yards + TD 10 REC + 91 Yards + TD 8 REC + 137 Yards

New Football 301 is up as @​Nate_Tice and I discuss the teams we think aren't being talked about enough. One of those teams: The defending Super Bowl Champions, who have more young players on offense than you think, who could step up on offense to (maybe) eat into a historically high target share from Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

David Montgomery is about to be a workhorse and it's like nobody cares

Jeanty with Kubiak could be absolute GAS. Was really good as an outside runner last year when the OL wasn’t instantly collapsing at the snap [Retweeted](

“It doesn’t feel great given that he’s on the Jets, but the volume does project to be really good.” - @​JackMiller02 The ADP disagreement on Garrett Wilson:

What's now become a 4th of July weekend tradition on my Substack, wrote through my favorite "free" selections at the end of best ball drafts (round 15+ ADP) Check out the first player write-up below (Brian Robinson), and the link to the article below that⬇️

what’s CMC training for?

.@​ChadGraff believes the Patriots will face fewer stacked boxes in 2026 with A.J. Brown in the lineup. New England faced the second-highest rate of stacked boxes in 2025. TreVeyon Henderson SZN 🤫

NFL coordinator on Saquon Barkley being ranked RB3 this season, via @​ESPN: "My only criticism is that he doesn't always produce when things aren't completely clean. That's dating back to the Giants. Tends to need things perfectly set up for him."

Kayshon Boutte in 2025... + Led ALL WRs in EPA/Target (0.801) + Top 10 in zone separation score and 32nd (among 86 WRs) in zone YPRR, per @​FantasyPtsData + 7th among 65 qualifying WRs in contested catch rate (71.4%), min. 10 contested targets + T-1st in deep ball receiving TDs w/ 5 (20+ air yards), 11th in deep ball receptions (9), and led all WRs in deep EPA/Tgt (1.72) Boutte was a pure X receiver last year, overlapping with both of NE's new additions at WR. I do have a hard time imagining...

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

.@​HaydenWinks Top 10 Fantasy WRs for 2026: 1) Ja’Marr Chase 2) Puka Nacua 3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4) Amon-Ra St. Brown 5) Justin Jefferson 6) CeeDee Lamb 7) Drake London 8) Nico Collins 9) AJ Brown 10) George Pickens

What's now become a 4th of July weekend tradition on my Substack, wrote through my favorite "free" selections at the end of best ball drafts (round 15+ ADP) Check out the first player write-up below (Brian Robinson), and the link to the article below that⬇️

"Jeremiyah Love at the 2/3 turn is a bad-team discount on top-3 draft capital." #Cardinals #BestBall #FantasyFootball League-winner at ADP, or a trap on a bad Cardinals offense? @​RyanJ_Heath @​JakobSanderson

An NFL Coordinator on Saquon Barkley: “My only criticism is that he doesn’t always produce when things aren’t completely clean… That’s dating back to the Giants. He tends to need things perfectly set up for him.” (@​JFowlerESPN)

iShowSpeed meets Kyle Pitts at the Argentina vs. Egypt match in Atlanta 🤝

Was listening to @​jagibbs_23 on @​TheOGfantasy ’s new show talking League Winners, and the TE discussion got me thinking about Tucker Kraft For TEs, routes run is one of the best predictors of fantasy production. 2025 leaders in routes/game: • McBride: 40.2 • Bowers: 32.2 • Pitts: 30.4 … • Tucker Kraft: 23.9 That’s where I get concerned. If Kraft sees even a modest post-ACL efficiency dip, will the volume be enough to overcome it? Nearly one-third of his fantasy production came after the cat...

Was listening to @​jagibbs_23 on @​ThOGfantasy ’s new show talking League Winners, and the TE discussion got me thinking about Tucker Kraft For TEs, routes run is one of the best predictors of fantasy production. 2025 leaders in routes/game: • McBride: 40.2 • Bowers: 32.2 • Pitts: 30.4 … • Tucker Kraft: 23.9 That’s where I get concerned. If Kraft sees even a modest post-ACL efficiency dip, will the volume be enough to overcome it? Nearly one-third of his fantasy production came after the catc...

I have bad news for Mr. Brandon Aiyuk. You need to do A to do B.

MarShawn Lloyd injury history certainly sucks and has prevented him from doing anything in the NFL. Will note that it's not like he's had some devastating multi-tear issue since being drafted. *IF* healthy, seems like clear RB2 to Josh Jacobs with explosive pass-catching ability

What's now become a 4th of July weekend tradition on my Substack, wrote through my favorite "free" selections at the end of best ball drafts (round 15+ ADP) Check out the first player write-up below (Brian Robinson), and the link to the article below that⬇️

Can we trust Parker Washington, Jayden Reed, and Michael Wilson? @​MattHarmon_BYB and @​JamesDKoh discuss if these players are primed for big seasons or could disappoint in 2026. Listen here ⤵️ <https://linktr.ee/ReceptionPerception> [Retweeted](

Can we trust Parker Washington, Jayden Reed, and Michael Wilson? @​MattHarmon_BYB and @​JamesDKoh discuss if these players are primed for big seasons or could disappoint in 2026. Listen here ⤵️ <https://linktr.ee/ReceptionPerception> [Retweeted](

Can we trust Parker Washington, Jayden Reed, and Michael Wilson? @​MattHarmon_BYB and @​JamesDKoh discuss if these players are primed for big seasons or could disappoint in 2026. Listen here ⤵️ <https://linktr.ee/ReceptionPerception> [Retweeted](

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

8 running backs have averaged 18+ PPR points per game in a season since 2024. Current Underdog ADPs: -Jahmyr Gibbs (RB1) -Bijan Robinson (RB2) -Jonathan Taylor (RB3) -Christian McCaffrey (RB4) -Saquon Barkley (RB7) -De'Von Achane (RB10) -Derrick Henry (RB12) -Alvin Kamara (RB55)

Commenter lists Washington as RB in early 17th-round ADP range. Will play behind Jeanty who, as rookie, saw more carries in single season than KW3 has in any season.

Commenter lists Davis as RB in early 17th-round ADP range. Davis fell out of favor for much of season until final week throwaway game.

Commenter lists Tucker as RB in early 17th-round ADP range alongside Johnson, Kamara, Ray Davis, Jaydon Blue, Mike Washington Jr. Suggests Tucker has upside in limited circumstances unless completely out on Bucky (Warren).

Commenter suggests Holani as early-start RB before Charbonnet gets healthy; last-pick dart throw. Confident he'll be lead back going into season before Price starts earning reps. Messy backfield in Seattle before Price and Holani split similar to Walker/Charbonnet next season.

Commenter defends KW3 against injury concerns, noting he missed 6 games in 2024 but played 15, 15, and 17 games in prior three seasons. Injury concerns are overblown. Another commenter counters that even when healthy, he hasn't gotten 20–25 touches per game; Seahawks kept him fresh by using Charbonnet. If he can handle workhorse volume and KC OL improves, he's a league winner at his ADP. Debate hinges on durability and whether Chiefs will use him as true bellcow.

Commenter notes Demercado is the KC RB to target if not KW3; played 50% snaps because Charbonnet is good, not because he's injury-prone. Another commenter mentions Demercado had goal-line drop on home-run TD that cost them a week. Debate over whether Demercado or Johnson is the RB2 in KC.

Commenter argues Pacheco is not undervalued; he's a roster clogger competing with KW3 (Super Bowl MVP just signed to big deal). Pacheco wasn't competing with reigning Super Bowl MVP; his path to touches is muddy. Another commenter notes Pacheco was 7th-round pick who led room as rookie in Super Bowl year, but KW3 situation is different. Consensus is Pacheco is unlikely to have meaningful role.

Commenter lists Gordon as undervalued alternative in Texans offense. Another commenter calls Gordon 'spicy' but is too deep in Achane rabbit hole to fully endorse him. Suggests there's a role for him in offense but unclear what that role is.

Commenter lists Gainwell as undervalued alternative. Another commenter suggests he'll be second fiddle to Bucky (Warren) now that Warren is healthy. Gainwell looked good last season, but his role is uncertain if Warren stays healthy. Debate hinges on Warren's durability and Eagles' usage.

Commenter suggests Gainwell will play second fiddle to Bucky (Jaylen Warren) now that Warren is fully healthy. Another commenter counters that Gainwell looked good last season and it's unclear what Warren's value will be without Coen. Debate over whether Warren's health and role are settled.

Commenter argues Kamara should be on every undervalued list. Saints won't cut him (would be despicable after free agency ended); he's adamant about playing for them. Separate commenter notes unless Etienne gets hurt, Kamara won't be fantasy relevant because Kellen Moore offenses don't throw to RBs much and Kamara offers little as rusher at this point. Mixed sentiment: upside if Saints use him, but role uncertainty under Moore's system.

Commenter (not article) argues Montgomery is interesting despite not being on list. Should be bellcow on team wanting to be more run-heavy; hasn't had many touches due to recent splits; good game script due to defense; improved OL but could still be bad. Age 29 profiles like dead zone back. Comparison to Mixon's upside a few years ago. Commenter argues he has clearer path to 60–70% carry share than article's picks, making him preferable to second-tier backs on teams that won't utilize them as much.

Commenter (not article) highlights Henry as bargain at mid-30s ADP. Ravens should dominate time of possession under Jesse Minter; Henry will be workhorse in high-powered offense. Minimal pushback; community sentiment is positive on his value.

Article mentions Johnson as undervalued. Community: Heavy pushback that he is overvalued, not undervalued. Kansas City just signed Super Bowl MVP KW3 and broke the bank; Johnson is a 5th-round rookie in weak draft class unlikely to get significant burn. Debate over whether he beats out Emari Demercado for RB2. Some argue he's interesting at early 17th-round ADP as a dart throw with possible RB2 upside if he wins the role, but consensus is the backfield is crowded and his path to volume is murky. One commenter notes Pacheco was 7th-round pick who led room as rookie, but KW3 situation is different.

Article: RB34 at ADP 93.3; finished RB23 in PPR from Weeks 7–18 after establishing role in Bears offense from Week 7 onward; trended upward with 3+ targets in 4 of last 5 games including playoffs. Community: Strong agreement on upside; one commenter notes he improved target share as season progressed (opposite of Bill), making him more trustworthy for PPR. Consensus is he has reasonable case to exceed current valuation.

Only three running backs have 200+ receptions since 2022

Only three running backs have 200+ receptions since 2022

Only three running backs have 200+ receptions since 2022

Agree on Skattebo being a risky bet given the injury (never draft him), but don’t love the idea of Tracy being one of the highest priced RB2s in drafts given the demonstrated workload split we saw in 2025 w/ Singletary when Skatt went down. From Wk8 on, he accounted for ~60% of total carries, and just 26% (!) of the goal line work per @​FantasyPtsData. He was just the RB23 in this time. Granted this could change some given the staff change in 2026, but it's definitely not encouraging. Especia...

Agree on Skattebo being a risky bet given the injury (never draft him), but don’t love the idea of Tracy being one of the highest priced RB2s in drafts given the demonstrated workload split we saw in 2025 w/ Singletary when Skatt went down. From Wk8 on, he accounted for ~60% of total carries, and just 26% (!) of the goal line work per @​FantasyPtsData. He was just the RB23 in this time. Granted this could change some given the staff change in 2026, but it's definitely not encouraging. Especia...

Great stuff on Jonathon Brooks: "I’m not viewing this as a typical “Player __ had TWO ACL tears, he’s cooked” ... Rather, I’m viewing it as the first procedure failed, but the second procedure is significantly stronger and should allow him to return to form this time around." [Quoted](

Positioned by skeptics as 7th-round alternative to Kyren Williams with similar production. Kyren defenders aggressively counter that Pollard's best season (2022) is worse than each of Kyren's past three seasons; skeptics argue Pollard in 7th round provides better value than Williams in 3rd. Community divided on whether late-round Pollard or 3rd-round Kyren is better value.

Mentioned as preferred alternative to D'Andre Swift at late 3rd/4th-round ADP. Cited as more consistent option with 4 games under 10 PPR last year, similar to elite RBs.

Mentioned as preferred alternative to D'Andre Swift at late 3rd/4th-round ADP. One commenter notes surprise at how many points Brown scored last year and references him as league-winner if you made playoffs but league-loser early season due to volatility. Another cites him as better target than Swift at similar cost.

Panthers RB mentioned as part of emerging 1a/1b committee with Bryce Brooks. Community notes team loves Hubbard but Brooks had high draft capital and is young (22 years old); one commenter suggests committee could develop mid-season rather than immediately.

Positioned as Kyren Williams' competition in Rams backfield. Kyren defenders argue Corum cannot replicate Williams' receiving ability or run HB angle routes effectively; one commenter notes watching games made it clear Corum sees similar snap count again. Skeptics counter that Corum is young (22 years old), only three months younger than Kyren, and will eat into Williams' opportunities. Community sentiment leans toward Corum as secondary back with limited upside.

Mentioned as committee RB worth targeting; community notes he's available late 3rd to 4th round in 12-team drafts but questions whether that's the right spot given competing receiver value. One commenter states they won't quit on Swift but notes draft cost conflicts with receiver sweet spot; another suggests Chase Brown or Derrick Henry are better targets at that ADP.

Article positions as committee RB with upside; community deeply divided. Defenders cite 12/16 games with double-digit PPR points, RB9 finish despite RB12 ADP, 14+ attempts in every game, 9 games with 15+ PPR points, and three straight seasons of identical production; argue he's a top-10 RB in 3rd round. Skeptics counter that 7 games below RB12 finish and weekly volatility don't justify 3rd-round cost vs. late-round alternatives like Tony Pollard; note Blake Corum competition and age concerns. Kyren defenders aggressively push back, noting Pollard's best season (2022) is worse than each of Kyren's past three seasons and Corum cannot replicate his receiving ability or route running.

Can find all my video content on the new "Fantasy football with Ian Hartitz" YouTube channel! Subscribe below and I would consider it a personal favor. But it's also a free country + I thought Keon Coleman would be good last year so I get it either way <https://www.youtube.com/@>​ihartitz

The closer I look at how JSN scored his fantasy points last year, the more convinced I become that Amon-Ra St. Brown is safer

Jared ranks Saquon Barkley just ahead of Ken Walker and projects bounceback appeal in his new offense with expected healthier offensive-line play and potentially increased passing-game usage. He's willing to buy Barkley for one more year as an early second-round pick, though he finds Walker more exciting due to age and remaining upside.

Kincaid is at a very cheap price tag and Jared identifies him as the number-two target in Buffalo, making this the easiest year to 'click on the Dalton King button.' Despite disappointing last two seasons, Kincaid has first-round pedigree and a strong rookie season (73 catches). The low ADP combined with projected role as second-most-targeted pass-catcher in Buffalo creates value opportunity.

Watson finished WR17 in fantasy points per game last year despite 61st route rate (68% of snaps) and Packers' 27th-ranked pass attempts, posting career bests in yards per route run and PFF receiving grade. With Romeo Doubs and Dantavian Wicks gone, Watson should see an uptick in targets (projected 110–120 range, up from sub-20% target share). Jared projects 20% target share and WR19 in half-PPR, but if target share rises to 23% while maintaining efficiency, Watson has a path to top-12 fantasy receiver. Key edge: Watson averaged 0.77 end-zone targets per game over three seasons—only nine WRs exceeded that last year—indicating consistent red-zone and touchdown opportunity. Green Bay's massive contract extension signals WR1 usage intent; Jared notes his efficiency metrics (top-5 yards per target, top-5 yards per route run) and sub-20% target share suggest he's not a target hog, but the contract and team investment indicate they're treating him as big-time WR1. Watson's ADP continues to climb, and if target share reaches 23%, he has immense upside despite not being a dominant target-volume player.

McLaurin smashed his ADP in 2024 with 13 TD catches and nearly 1100 receiving yards alongside Jaden Daniels, finishing WR16 in fantasy points. At WR23 ADP this season, Jared flags him as underpriced with minimal WR target competition and an offense built around him. Despite turning 31 and injuries limiting him in 2024, McLaurin set a career-high in yards per route (13th among 76 WRs) and has historically been a 21–23% target share guy. Jared projects another similar fantasy season and notes 2024 was the only time McLaurin has been healthy with good QB play. New offensive coordinator David Blau plans to move him side-to-side and feature him dynamically, potentially providing more easy-button targets than Cliff Kingsbury's approach. Jared projects McLaurin could dominate targets and wouldn't be shocked by a 150-target season (career high was 134 in 2020). Caveat: if Stefon Diggs lands in Washington, Jared would downgrade McLaurin significantly and project him back to a 22% target range, lowering his rankings and reducing upside.

Jaden Daniels provided quarterback context for Terry McLaren's 2024 season performance. McLaren had a massive season with 13 touchdown catches and nearly 1100 receiving yards while playing with Daniels. However, both McLaren and Daniels dealt with injuries in 2024, yet McLaren still set a career-high in yards per route.

Evans was very good in the few games he was healthy last year and could score 15 touchdowns this year, which would not surprise Jared. In an ADP head-to-head comparison with Devonte Adams, Jared ranks Adams slightly ahead but views them as very similar profiles: older WRs still producing at a high level.

Jared likes Luther Burden's talent and ceiling, which is similar to Jaylen Waddle's, but prefers Waddle because Waddle has proven it at the NFL level while Burden has not yet demonstrated consistent production.

Waddle is WR24 in ADP but projects as a top-12 fantasy WR. One of eight WRs last year to average 2+ yards per route and 15%+ route win rate, and has maintained this elite efficiency in three of his last four seasons. Situation upgrade from Miami (30th pass attempts, 25th pass yards) to Denver (4th pass attempts, 11th pass yards); also upgrade at QB. Jared expects Waddle to 'separate himself in a major way' from Courtland Sutton and be the clear number-one receiver in Denver's offense. Waddle was a top-10 pick in his draft and 'did some really good things in Miami,' but was limited by Tyreek Hill's presence and then the Dolphins' offensive collapse. Now in Denver, which ranked top-5 in pass attempts last year, Waddle has the opportunity and volume to emerge as a featured player. Jared prefers Waddle over Luther Burden and Tedo McMillan due to proven track record despite similar ceilings.

Jared projects Zay Flowers as a top-10 WR if he reaches 7-8 touchdowns, with potential for top-8 or even top-5 finish if he breaks out in the red zone. Currently at 28% target share with five, four, and five touchdowns over three seasons; the primary limiting factor has been red zone usage rather than overall volume. New coaching staff (Declan Doyle) and Isaiah Likely's departure (15 TDs over four seasons) create a clear path for increased end-zone opportunities. Baltimore was dead last in pass attempts last season and second-to-last in 2024; if Declan Doyle improves the offense to just 10th-worst in pass attempts, Flowers has significant volume outs. Additionally, if Derrick Henry misses time at age 33 for rest management, the offense becomes 'a lot more Z Flowers focused.' Flowers is in his prime while Mark Andrews and other Ravens skill players are north of 30, positioning him as the focal point.

Jared mentions James Cook as a running back he'd prefer to take in round 1 over the consensus RB cluster, then pair with a receiver in round 2 if picking near the 1-2 turn.

Jared prefers Drake London over the RB cluster in rounds 1-3, suggesting he'd rather take London in round 2 if picking near the 1-2 turn.

Jared has been targeting Jonathan Brooks for months and is willing to chase him into the eighth round or higher as his ADP climbs. Despite the twice-torn ACL concern, everything from Carolina's coaching staff and beat writers has been positive regarding Brooks' spring workouts and health status. Jared projects Brooks as a clear lead back in Carolina by October if healthy, pluggable as an RB2 with upside in fantasy lineups. Brooks' college production at Texas was elite: 114 rushing yards per game, 6.1 yards per carry, 2.5 receptions per game, 29 receiving yards per game. At 216 pounds, he's a three-down back skill set in a good situation where Chuba Hubbard underperformed last year (ranked 41st or worse in yards per carry, rush yards over expected, yards after contact, and missed tackles forced among 51 RBs with 90+ carries). The big-time upside case centers on his receiving ability (2.5 catches per game at Texas), and this could end up being an all-time injury comeback given Dave Canales' track record with running backs (Bucky Irving, Chuba Hubbard, Rico Dael all produced at RB1 level under Canales).

Jared cites Hubbard's poor 2024 performance as justification for Jonathan Brooks' upside. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries, Hubbard ranked 41st or worse in yards per carry, rush yards over expected per attempt, yards after contact per attempt, and missed tackles forced per attempt. He lost the lead job to Rico Dael mid-season. In high-stakes formats (NFC, FFPC), Hubbard sits approximately 20 ADP spots behind Jonathan Brooks, creating a clear gap in market valuation between the two Carolina running backs.

Jared views Kyler Murray as underpriced at QB16 on underdog and would chase him up to QB12 easily. He projects Murray as a good bet to score as a top-12 fantasy quarterback this season, which Murray had done in every season of his career prior to 2024 when he only played five games. Among active quarterbacks, only six (Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Jaden Daniels, Joe Burrow) have scored more fantasy points per game than Murray. The Kevin O'Connell offense is described as the best situation of Murray's career, with top-tier weapons (Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jawan Jennings, TJ Hawkinson) and an elite offensive line—a huge upgrade from Arizona. Murray's rushing upside (572 yards, 5 TDs in 2024) combined with O'Connell's track record of generating top-9 QB fantasy points in his first three Vikings teams supports top-6 upside potential. Jared favors Murray over Jared Goff (citing upside vs. safety; Goff would struggle to finish top-8), over Brock Purdy, and over Matthew Stafford (who had 46 passing TDs last year).

Jared calls AJ Brown an excellent pick anywhere in round two and is willing to chase him even into the beginning of round two if he climbs that high. He generally prefers AJ Brown over the RB cluster in the 1-3 round range, suggesting he'd rather take Brown in round 1 or pair him with a receiver in round 2 if picking near the 1-2 turn. The addition of Brown to Drake May's offense gives the Patriots a true number-one receiver, which Jared views as a massive upgrade for May's fantasy outlook.

Jared flags Drake May as a must-draft value and potential league-winning quarterback despite being QB5 in ADP. May was QB3 in fantasy points per game last year in his first season under Josh McDaniels with a mediocre supporting cast. He led the league in completion rate and completion percentage over expected, was third in passing touchdowns, and third among QBs in rushing attempts, fourth in rushing yards, and eighth in rushing touchdowns. The Patriots' offensive line is a year older with a first-round draft pick added, plus signings of Romeo Dubs and Eli Raridan (fast tight end), and the trade for AJ Brown gives May a true number-one receiver. In underdog drafts, May goes in the middle of round six, ahead of opportunity costs like Tony Pollard, Chuba Hubbard, and Marvin Harrison Jr. Jared projects a tougher schedule will increase pass attempts despite potential efficiency decline, and McDaniels has shown willingness to let May air it out. May is more expensive than last year but still too cheap given the Patriots' investment in his weapons.

When Rice plays, Kelce becomes a back-end top-15 tight end at best and has not produced well; he is also a year older, making him less attractive than Mark Andrews as a tight end option.

Hubbard was drafted as a backup running back to support primary RB selections and is characterized as a boring top-24 back-end RB2 option; the source views him as a depth/bench role with mid-tier production expectations without significant upside.

Purdy is drafted at QB 11-12 ADP but projected to finish QB 6-7 by points per game; the source expresses strong conviction: 'give me all the Brock Purdy in the world and I'll be pretty happy most weeks,' with the caveat that health is critical for him to 'put up massive numbers again.' This represents significant upside relative to draft position.

Robinson is characterized as 'super boring,' suggesting the source views him as a safe but unexciting pick without significant upside.

Diggs is endorsed as a solid value selection in the draft; the source explicitly approves of the pick, stating 'I like that pick as well,' indicating the source views Diggs favorably in this draft context.

Irving in the fourth round is characterized as a pick the source doesn't love, suggesting the source views the draft capital as too high for Irving's expected production.

Adams in the fifth round as a wide receiver two is characterized as 'pretty pretty spicy,' indicating excellent value; the source notes 'that's a pretty good price to pay for 15 bucks' (auction draft price), suggesting Adams is undervalued at this draft position despite acknowledging skepticism about Adams this year. At 5'8 ADP, the source expresses enthusiasm for the pick.

Nabers is the first receiver taken in the nine-hole draft, but the source notes this is 'really risky' because 'he's not going to play at the start of the season,' indicating significant injury concerns that make the pick problematic despite his talent.

Waddle is part of a receiver room (Waddle, Jordan Addison, Alec Pierce) that the source characterizes as 'really risky' when paired with Malik Nabers' injury absence, suggesting the overall receiving corps is unreliable.

Pierce is part of a receiver room (Waddle, Jordan Addison, Alec Pierce) that the source characterizes as 'really risky' when paired with Malik Nabers' injury absence, suggesting the overall receiving corps is unreliable.

Part of a 'buzzy' draft start (CD Lamb, Saquon, Garrett Wilson, Luther Burden) that represents an alternative early-round strategy with multiple elite receivers.

Part of a 'buzzy' draft start (CD Lamb, Saquon, Garrett Wilson, Luther Burden) that represents an alternative early-round strategy with multiple elite receivers.

The source notes that Scott has been 'talking him up' with the premise 'what if he's had atrocious quarterback play just his entire career?' suggesting Wilson's upside is being reassessed positively given improved quarterback play (Geno Smith), implying undervaluation relative to potential.

Part of a 'buzzy' draft start (CD Lamb, Saquon, Garrett Wilson, Luther Burden) that represents an alternative early-round strategy with multiple elite receivers.

Part of a first-round group (Jefferson, Hampton, Loveland, Jackson) that represents a 'rainbow start with four different positions,' indicating a diversified positional approach in early rounds.

Selected as the RB4 in the draft, indicating a mid-tier running back selection in the overall strategy.

Described as a 'shot for the moon' pick in the running back room, indicating the drafter is targeting significant upside and breakout potential from Price.

The source rejects Gadsden as a tight end draft option, grouping him with Kincaid as unacceptable picks in favor of Andrews, Goedert, and Ferguson.

The source identifies Andrews as an acceptable tight end option in the draft, grouping him with Goedert and Ferguson as preferred targets over Kincaid and Ronde Gadsden. The source expects Andrews to return to full-time playing status after Baltimore let Charlie Kolar walk to the Chargers and Isaiah Likely to the Giants, opening up route opportunities. Andrews and Goedert are considered extremely close in value this season.

The source rejects Kincaid despite advanced metrics support, citing severe playing-time constraints as the core issue. While Kincaid's three yards per route run metric appears strong, the source notes he runs only 12 routes per game, making the efficiency stat misleading. Playing alongside Josh Allen, Kincaid barely sees the field, making his advanced metrics unreliable for fantasy production.

The source expresses lukewarm sentiment on Mahomes as a draft pick this year, stating 'I don't love Mahomes this year, either.' Despite considering a mini-stack with Rashee Rice, the source's overall conviction on Mahomes is low, though they acknowledge he is acceptable as QB 12 in the draft.

The source expresses openness to drafting Bo Nix as a quarterback option, stating 'I actually don't mind Bo Nix, either,' indicating a willingness to consider him in the quarterback tier.

The source rejects McConkey at his current ADP, arguing he is overpriced relative to his role. Despite playing 27 games alongside QJ over two seasons, McConkey has only 27 more targets than QJ (averaging one additional target per game), yet is being drafted in the third or fourth round with wide receiver one upside pricing. The source believes the target split will be closer than consensus expects and prefers QJ as the better value in that receiver room.

The source passes on Addison in favor of Quentin Johnston, indicating a preference for Johnston's value and upside profile in the receiver tier being evaluated. Addison is part of a receiver room (Jaylen Waddle, Jordan Addison, Alec Pierce) that the source characterizes as 'really risky' when paired with Malik Nabers' injury absence, suggesting the overall receiving corps is unreliable.

The source identifies QJ as their favorite Charger receiver to draft, citing underrated target-earning potential and touchdown upside. Over the last two seasons, QJ and Ladd McConkey played 27 games together with QJ averaging just one target per game behind McConkey (27-target gap), yet QJ posted 16 expected touchdowns versus McConkey's 12. With McDaniels taking over play-calling and Justin Herbert's arm talent, the source projects a closer target split than market consensus anticipates and values QJ as a wide receiver four in the eighth round, offering flex upside at a discount to McConkey's third/fourth-round ADP. The source has warmed up to Johnston and expects him to see more of the after-catch production that he displayed at TCU; Johnston has been misused in his NFL role so far. The source prefers Johnston over other receiver options in this tier, including Jordan Addison and Makai Lemon, and selected him for the draft team as a little bit of upside.

Charbonnet suffered an ACL injury in mid-January and did not have surgery until February 20th, after the Super Bowl. Using the standard 9-month recovery timeline for ACL injuries, he is projected to return around mid-October and may not be 100% until after Halloween. The source emphasizes this is the critical monitoring point throughout training camp in August; any negativity about his recovery could push Price's ADP up, while a healthy return by mid-October or early November could limit Price's upside. Charbonnet's return timing is the key factor affecting the Seahawks backfield opportunity landscape, as he is the proven NFL back on the roster.

The source expresses strong preference for Goedert among available tight ends on the board. Identified as an acceptable tight end option in the draft, grouping him with Mark Andrews and Kyle Ferguson as preferred targets over Dalton Kincaid and Ronde Gadsden. The source considers Goedert extremely close to Mark Andrews in terms of value this season and makes sense as a stack option with Devonta Smith.

Selected as upside running back pick in sixth round. The source makes the bull case for Price: Seahawks backfield has no proven solid NFL back until Zach Charbonnet returns from ACL surgery (projected mid-October return after February 20 surgery), creating opportunity for Price to emerge early in the season. Seahawks were number one in backfield expected fantasy points last season, though regression expected. Price's rushing metrics were very good, but he only caught six passes last year, though he showed the ability to track and catch the ball. Source loves the upside swing with Price and notes team can plug in other backs while waiting for Price to develop. Price's ADP should rise if there is negativity about Charbonnet's recovery timeline during training camp.

Jonathan Brooks is a complete unknown due to two consecutive ACL injuries and minimal playing time over the last two years. The source, who loved Brooks as a prospect, is very scared by the injury history. Brooks is expected to operate in a split backfield with limited role (8–12 change-of-pace carries), with only a 25% likelihood of a full takeover scenario where he becomes the explosive, primary back. Worst-case scenario is a 50/50 split with Chuba Hubbard, who is the clear starter.

Chuba Hubbard is the confirmed clear starter in the Panthers backfield under Dave Canales, who retained him as his guy even after Rico Dowdle's strong 2024 run. The source describes him as a floor RB2/RB3 option—reliable but uninspiring ('boiled broccoli')—with analytics concerns noted. Canales has been a great run-game coordinator since his time with Tampa Bay. The source recommends him as a fine pick in the middle of the sixth round, though characterized as a 'boring top 24 back end RB2' in the running back room evaluation.

Swift has finished as a top 24 fantasy RB in every season of his career, never reaching top 12; the source values him as a reliable RB2 floor option with consistent finishes (RB 15, RB 24, RB 24, RB 17, RB 10 over recent seasons). Under Ben Johnson this offseason, Swift showed improved eye-test performance—running well between the tackles and developing into a more professional runner—though he must split touches with Kalenji. The source prefers Swift ahead of other RB options at this draft position and appreciates his dependable RB2 production despite lack of top-eight upside. Characterized as a 'boring top 24 back end RB2' in the running back room evaluation, suggesting mid-tier production expectations without significant upside. Swift was drafted as the team's RB2, indicating a secondary running back role in the team construction. The source characterizes D'Andre Swift as a boring top-24 back-end RB2 option in the 2026 draft.

The source is 'all in' on Brevin Jordan despite him burning drafters last year, but prefers De'Andre Swift in this spot. Jordan has upside but is deprioritized relative to other RB options in this range.

The source is 'all in' on David Montgomery as a slam dunk pick, identifying him as the favorite RB in this range. Montgomery may be a better back than Joe Mixon was two years ago in the same Texans offense, with Mixon showing signs of slowing down. The Texans have the best defense in football and will be in positive game scripts, making Montgomery a slam dunk pick.

The source identifies De'Andre Swift as the favorite floor RB2 option in this range. Every single year of Swift's career he has finished as a top-24 fantasy running back, never reaching top-12; the source values him as a reliable RB2 with consistent finishes. Under Ben Johnson this offseason, Swift showed improved eye-test performance—running well between the tackles and developing into a more professional runner—though he must split touches with Kalenji. The source prefers Swift over Tu Obo despite Tu's upside potential with the McCaffrey hammer, stating 'I have I've been selecting Swift ahead of Tu' and 'I do feel safer about' Swift.

One of the source's favorite guys to draft all year; goes right after Rashee Rice in ADP; part of the Ryan Heath study on finding undervalued WR2s on high-volume passing teams; he was WR4 in fantasy points per game two years ago and is a spectacular third-round pick; he scores touchdowns at a higher rate than Ja'Marr Chase on a per-route and per-target basis despite being in the same offense. Has 21 touchdowns in his last 27 games over the past two years; across his starts with Joe Burrow over the last three seasons, he ranks as a top-eight fantasy wide receiver; he is given 20-to-1 odds for receiving touchdowns, a sneaky play given Ja'Marr Chase's presence in the offense.

Locked-in top-eight fantasy receiver when healthy with insane touchdown upside; he was pushed to the second round before legal trouble last summer, but his upside equation has not changed; he is now draftable in the third round and expected to move to late second round (ADP 22–23) by the end of August as he recovers from his knee injury and stays out of trouble. Selected in the draft as part of the McCaffrey build strategy; the source acknowledges the pick with the caveat that the team is banking on Rashee Rice to stay out of trouble. Identified as a sleeper WR being drafted later than expected; notes that Rice, DeVonta Smith, and Nico Collins should all be going back-to-back-to-back in drafts but were all acquired in this draft build, suggesting significant value relative to ADP. Drafted as the team's WR2 in a receiver room the source describes as 'nice,' indicating confidence in the group's quality.

Ranked 47–49 overall on Sleeper, described as buried; the source leans toward DeVonta Smith over Rashee Rice but acknowledges the McCaffrey build strategy favors Rice; Smith is flagged as undervalued and will appear in a Tom Brohm article comparing fantasy points rankings across platforms due to his low ADP relative to consensus. Expected to command approximately 28–30% target share this season as part of a three-receiver group drafted early in the mock draft. Drafted as the team's WR3 in a receiver room the source describes as 'nice,' indicating confidence in the group's depth and quality. Identified as a sleeper WR being drafted later than expected; notes that Smith, Rashee Rice, and Nico Collins should all be going back-to-back-to-back in drafts but were all acquired in this draft build, suggesting significant value relative to ADP.

Paired with Christian McCaffrey at 1.06 as part of a ride-till-the-wheels-fall-off strategy; over his last four games last year, Henry had 85 carries, 570 yards, and six touchdowns, showing fewer signs of decline than McCaffrey; Titans added offensive line help with Ieyouny to support his production. Source expresses willingness to 'ride till I die' with a McCaffrey and Derrick Henry combination, indicating strong conviction in the pairing despite Henry's age.

Objectively a better receiver than A.J. Brown right now; locked for approximately 30% of Texans targets with minimal competition (Jayden Higgins and Tank Dell return but pose no real threat); Texans loaded up at tight end (Marlon Clown, Foster Moreau) leaving Collins as the clear top receiver; has been very good when healthy but struggled with concussions last season; potential sneaky candidate to put up huge numbers if he stays healthy and Stroud improves behind improved offensive line. Also identified as a sleeper WR being drafted later than expected; notes that Collins, Rashee Rice, and DeVonta Smith should all be going back-to-back-to-back in drafts but were all acquired in this draft build, suggesting significant value relative to ADP. Drafted as the team's WR1, anchoring a receiver room the source describes as 'nice.'

Running back gaining draft momentum in some spots; mentioned as part of a massive run of running backs in the draft.

Second-round pick candidate with significant upside if Mike McDaniel's offense takes off; source finds it 'scary to pass on him.' However, injury history from last year is a concern. Praised on Tuesday live stream for upside potential.

Alternative 1.06 pick candidate with 'super super high floor' and middle-of-first-round value. Source considered him as the other option at 1.06 alongside McCaffrey before settling on McCaffrey.

Direct 1.06 comparison to Christian McCaffrey. Source acknowledges McCaffrey is the consensus 'play to win' pick but notes Taylor seems to be going ahead of McCaffrey in most situations on Underdog and best-ball formats. Taylor's upside is mostly touchdown-dependent; he lacks McCaffrey's passing-down role.

Primary 1.06 pick candidate described as 'the play to win pick here.' Source prefers McCaffrey over Jonathan Taylor at 1.06 in full PPR league with two flex spots. McCaffrey's edge: likely to play 12–14 games, catch ~75 balls, and secure all goal-line work on a strong offense; Taylor's upside is more touchdown-dependent and lacks McCaffrey's passing-down role. Selected at 1.06 as part of a core strategy pairing with Derrick Henry; source commits to riding with McCaffrey despite age concerns, noting he could fall off the cliff this season but still score 19 fantasy points per game due to high catch volume. Source identifies McCaffrey as the best hero running back option available, stating 'there's literally no better hero running back than Christian McCaffrey,' anchoring the hero RB strategy for this draft build.

Going 1.03 in mock draft as part of early consensus tier.

Going 1.04 in mock draft as part of early consensus tier.

Going 1.01 in mock draft with no surprises in early ADP; part of the consensus top tier alongside Anthony Gibbs at 1.02.

Parker Washington is part of Jacksonville's crowded receiving room alongside Brian Thomas Jr., Jacoby Myers, and newly-extended tight end Brent Strange, which may limit target share opportunities.

Brian Thomas Jr. is part of Jacksonville's crowded receiving room alongside Jacoby Myers, Parker Washington, and newly-extended tight end Brent Strange, which may limit target share opportunities.

If Hunter opens the season at cornerback, Jacksonville's schedule presents an immediate gauntlet: Browns rookies Casey Concepcion and Denzel Boston, Jalen Waddle and Cortland Sutton (Broncos), AJ Brown and Romeo Doubs (Patriots), T. Higgins and Jamar Chase (Bengals), DeVante Smith and Malachi Lennon (Eagles), and Nico Collins in the first six games—elite receivers that will test his coverage abilities early.

The source reports significant offseason conversation about Hunter shifting to a more primary defensive role (cornerback) rather than two-way usage, though no official ruling has been made; talent evaluators believed he had more immediate impact potential as a lockdown cornerback in man and zone coverage than as a receiver, despite his elite athleticism and receiving ability.

Hunter's rookie season ended prematurely due to a knee injury (LCL); he barely participated in field drills during offseason work but is projected to be healthy when training camp starts in late July.

Kelce made an outstanding 19-yard touchdown catch down the sideline with significant contact, demonstrating continued elite receiving ability and red-zone target share for Kansas City.

Rico Dowdle was the Panthers' RB1 last year, not Chuba Hubbard; this context is used to explain why Jonathan Brooks may have value as a potential split-carry back in 2026.

Chuba Hubbard is the listed back for the Panthers but did not end up being the team's RB1 last year (Rico Dowdle was); the source suggests the Panthers may split carries between Hubbard and Jonathan Brooks in 2026.

Jonathan Brooks is a value proposition the source believes people have forgotten about; he is playing behind Chuba Hubbard but the source notes that Hubbard did not ultimately end up being the RB1 on his team last year (Rico Dowdle was). The source thinks the Panthers want to split carries and opportunities, making Brooks a potential value pick.

Jadarian Price is a rookie running back the source is looking forward to; if you can get him at the right price, the source is excited about him. The source notes that drafting right now (before late August) is an advantage because Jadarian's price has not been elevated yet, allowing you to get him at a discount before his ADP rises.

Travis Hunter's rookie season ended prematurely due to a knee injury; there is talk this spring about more of a focus for him going forward, suggesting the team may adjust his usage in 2026.

Kyle Pitts is back in the source's consideration; the source makes a statement of pure conviction: 'Kyle Pitts' with no context, indicating a strong belief in Pitts' 2026 fantasy value.

Tucker Kraft is a premium tight end value proposition; the source notes that Kraft was dominating for so long and many people are focused on uncertainty about his return timeline. However, if you get Kraft and accept a few losses in the first three weeks of the season, the source believes there is value in targeting him as a premium tight end at a discount.

Sam Laporta is getting overlooked in 2026; he had a career-high in receiving yards per game last season and has the third-most touchdowns at the tight end position since entering the NFL. Under new coordinator Drew Petzing, who dialed up tight end usage significantly in Arizona, Laporta is tied to a really good Lions offense that will score a lot of points. He is positioned as probably the top red zone target for Detroit.

Daniel Jones' injury last year impacted Tyler Warren's production; Warren was a top tight end prior to Jones' injury, indicating the quarterback's health is critical to Warren's fantasy performance.

Michael Pittman Jr. is no longer with the Giants; his departure opens up short to intermediate target opportunities for Tyler Warren, who was competing with Pittman for those routes.

Tyler Warren is positioned as the next elite tight end after Bowers and McBride; the source really likes Warren and notes that Michael Pittman Jr. being gone is huge because the two were eating off each other's plates on short to intermediate targets. Warren excels in short to intermediate routes, not downfield. He was a top tight end prior to Daniel Jones' injury last year.

Cole Kmet is mentioned in the context of Colson Loveland's role; there were games last season where Loveland out-snapped Kmet, indicating a shift in the Bears' tight end usage toward Loveland.

Colson Loveland is the source's favorite premium tight end for 2026; he is positioned as the Chicago Bears' slot receiver, running about 50% of his routes from the slot at Michigan. Ben Johnson started using him in this role at the end of last year, and there were games where Loveland out-snapped Cole Kmet. With the Bears drafting Sam Rauch and running three tight ends in 13 personnel, Loveland is positioned as the pass-catcher to target from Chicago.

Alec Pierce is available around ADP 39 and is positioned as a known wide receiver with more opportunity certainty compared to rookie wide receiver flyers; the source frames him as a safer late-round pick.

Jordan Tyson is the source's favorite rookie wide receiver prospect; the source believes Tyson will be a big complementary piece for the Saints, who ran the play-through at the sixth-highest rate last year. Tyson is ranked as a WR3 (30-35 overall) with high upside.

Lamar Jackson is positioned as a strong fantasy option coming off injury; the source notes Lamar comes back from starting 12 games and has back-to-back great fantasy football seasons, positioning him as a reliable option if you like the situation.

Joe Burrow is positioned as a comeback player with strong fantasy upside; the source notes Burrow is a two-time comeback player of the year and if you get the player and like the situation, you should feel good about the opportunity.

Patrick Mahomes is being faded at cost in 2026; the source notes that running is what made Mahomes special last year, but coming off an ACL injury, the source expects the Chiefs to be cautious and not have him run much until December. The source is extracting value from Mahomes and redirecting it to Kenneth Walker instead.

Jaden Daniels is positioned as a top-tier quarterback option in 2026; the source loves Jaden's upside, which is matched only by Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. Daniels is coming off injury but the source expects him to run a lot and believes the injury will not impact his 2026 performance.

Kyler Murray is positioned for a breakout 2026 season under Kevin O'Connell (KOC); the source loves Kyler and notes this is the first time KOC will have a quarterback with a genuine running option (unlike Kirk Cousins or Sam Darnold). The combination of Kyler's running skill set and KOC's offensive system is expected to produce his best season.

Chris Olave is positioned as a quality wide receiver option in round three; the source loves Olave but notes there are many good wide receivers available in that range, making it a deep position for round-three selection.

Saquon Barkley is mentioned as a running back in round two with first-round talent falling in draft value; the source argues that many of these second-round running backs, including Barkley, can be made a case for as first-round talents.

Chase Brown is mentioned as a running back in round two with first-round talent falling in draft value; the source argues that many of these second-round running backs, including Brown, can be made a case for as first-round talents.

Jeremiah Love barely makes the source's top-12 RB1 list and is positioned as a rookie running back worth targeting; the source is excited about him as a prospect and believes he can contribute early in his NFL career.

Kenneth Walker is highlighted as a running back with opportunity in the source's ideal three-round draft start; the source notes that many people are paying up for opportunity, but Walker is positioned as a guy the source wanted—the running back of the Kansas City Chiefs who can be productive.

George Pickens is the source's third option in an ideal three-round draft start; positioned as a consolation wide receiver if you miss out on the top two receivers, Pickens is framed as a solid fallback at the position.

Jamar Chase is the top wide receiver option in the source's ideal three-round draft start; the source recommends going wide receiver, wide receiver in the first two rounds, with Chase as the first pick if you have the third overall selection.

Woody Marks had a loss or no gain in 8 of his 14 carries against New England, indicating inefficiency in the ground game that could impact CJ Stroud's fantasy prospects if the Texans cannot establish a more productive run game.

David Montgomery is set up as the Texans' feature back in 2026; the source has heard only good praise about him and believes getting the run game going will make things easier for CJ Stroud. Montgomery will be the team's RB1 in a defensive-oriented scheme that wants to slow down games and bleed the clock, meaning more goal-line and clock-management opportunities for him.

2026 is a prove-it year for CJ Stroud awaiting a new contract; the source notes the Texans made offensive line improvements and added David Montgomery to strengthen the run game and pass protection, which should allow Stroud to operate more effectively over the middle of the field with intermediate routes—his strength in his rookie year. If he plays well, he can command top-of-market quarterback money next offseason; if he struggles, he still has a safety net as a starting-caliber quarterback elsewhere.

Keelan Rutledge, the Texans' first-round pick, is part of the team's offensive line improvements. The source notes the Texans made two or three new offensive line pieces including Rutledge to help the offense become more physical and match the elite defense.

David Montgomery has joined the Houston Texans as their feature back. The source reports hearing only good praise about Montgomery and expects him to serve as the Texans' primary running back, helping the offense become more physical to match the elite defense.

CJ Stroud is the Houston Texans' quarterback and is awaiting a new contract. The source describes 2026 as a 'prove it year' for Stroud, as the Texans have an elite defense but the offense was not physical enough and Stroud did not play well enough in the playoffs last year. The source notes the Texans made offensive line improvements and added David Montgomery to get more physical, and expects Stroud to perform better in year two under offensive coordinator Nick Haley.

Stefon Diggs is referenced as the last true man-beater receiver the Buffalo Bills had before the acquisition of D.J. Moore. The source notes the Bills haven't had a comparable receiver since Diggs' departure.

Josh Allen is described by the source as 'maybe the best quarterback in football right now.' The source notes Allen has had to perform with a collection of receivers who haven't excelled at the right time, and the addition of D.J. Moore should provide him with a high-volume, reliable receiver who can separate and make plays down the field.

D.J. Moore has been traded to the Buffalo Bills and reunites with offensive coordinator Joe Brady, with whom he had success in Carolina. The source notes the Bills love what Moore can do as a man beater and notes he is the first true man beater who can separate since Stefon Diggs. The source describes Moore as incredibly reliable and capable of making plays down the field, and expects him to be a high-volume guy for the Bills. The source believes Moore could be the piece that helps the Bills get back over the top in the AFC East and that his development with Josh Allen will be crucial.

Drake May is the Patriots' quarterback and the source describes him as a contender for MVP and potentially the best quarterback in football. The source notes May can 'explode across the middle of the field' with playmaking and big ball-grabbing ability. The source expects May and A.J. Brown to develop chemistry quickly and believes Brown will help the Patriots compete in the AFC East despite playing a first-place schedule this year.

A.J. Brown has been traded to the New England Patriots and the source reports a Patriots staffer observed Brown in practice looking 'explosive and athletic,' comparing him favorably to his Eagles tape from last year and suggesting he may have been going through the motions in Philadelphia. The source believes the Patriots will unlock the 2023-2024 version of Brown, who could be an elite number-one receiver. Brown has something to prove and wants to play with quarterback Drake May, whom the source describes as a contender for MVP and potentially the best quarterback in football. The source expects Brown to be a key cog helping the Patriots compete in the AFC East despite playing a first-place schedule this year.

Rasul Douglas, a 31-year-old veteran cornerback originally drafted by the Philadelphia Eagles in 2017, has signed a one-year deal with the Washington Commanders worth up to $3.8 million. Douglas is returning to the NFC East after previous stints with other teams.

Terion Arnold, a former Lions cornerback, has cleared waivers and is now a free agent. Arnold is currently out on bond facing multiple felony charges in Florida. The source notes teams are interested in signing him but at a lower price than they would have paid if they had claimed him on waivers, as they want to avoid taking on his full contract and guaranteed money. The source expects a slow process as teams wait for the legal process to play out before committing, as the NFL typically waits for legal resolution before levying suspensions.

Frankie Louvu, an inside linebacker who was a second-team All-Pro just two years ago, is expected to compete with Leo Chennault for playing time in Washington's linebacker rotation. The source notes minicamp reports suggest Louvu could end up being the play caller, and there may be competition between Louvu and Chennault or the Commanders could deploy three linebackers under new defensive coordinator Durante Jones.

Kyle Juszczyk, who appeared on the Insiders, expressed confidence in the 49ers' position heading into training camp. When asked about the team canceling minicamp, Juszczyk agreed with the decision and stated, 'I just feel like we're in a really good spot right now.' The source notes that while Seattle and the Rams have received significant offseason attention, the 49ers have substantial talent, pride, and strong coaching that should not be overlooked.

Fred Warner is returning to the 49ers after playing in only six games last season due to an ankle injury. Two years ago, Warner and Drake Greenlaw formed the best linebacker tandem in the NFL. With both now healthy and back together, combined with the addition of defensive coordinator Raheem Morris, the 49ers' defense should significantly improve and emerge as one of the best in the NFL.

Nick Bosa is returning to the 49ers after missing most of last season with a knee injury suffered in the third game. The source projects Bosa will contribute nine sacks per season when healthy and notes his return, combined with the addition of defensive coordinator Raheem Morris, will significantly improve the 49ers' pass rush. Last year the 49ers had only 20 sacks; with Bosa back and Morris' scheme (which generated 57 sacks in Atlanta last year), the defense should emerge as one of the best in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson accounts for over 40% of the Falcons' offensive touches and the team picked up his fifth-year option, signaling intent to extend him. The source notes Robinson is in a standoff with the Falcons over contract terms, as he and fellow 2023 draft peer Jameer Gibbs both want to be the highest-paid running backs in the NFL. The source expects both Robinson and Gibbs to be paid at the top of the running back market and anticipates deals done before the start of the season, though negotiations could extend into training camp.

Baker Mayfield is in contract negotiations with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and hopes to have a deal done before entering the final year of his current contract. The source reports the sides are not close yet and there is a lot of work that needs to be done. Mayfield and his camp have specific numbers in mind for where the contract should be, but the Bucs' offer is significantly lower. The source notes the Bucs are in no rush and pressure could be applied around the start of training camp.

Lamar Jackson has two years remaining on his contract with the Ravens and holds a no-trade clause and no-tag clause. Contract negotiations are ongoing with a tight circle involving only Jackson, GM Eric DaCosta, and contract negotiator Nick Matteo. The source expects work to continue and is not surprised if negotiations extend into training camp, as the Ravens had hoped for a spring resolution but kicked the can down the road with a simple restructure to gain cap flexibility.

Tucker was selected as a wide receiver in the best-ball draft. The source later characterizes Tucker, along with Ricky Pearsall and Jacoby Myers, as best-ball-specific wide receivers, implying they are better suited to best-ball formats than redraft leagues and may not be preferred in managed redraft contexts.

Strange was selected as a backup tight end in the best-ball draft. The source does not provide specific analysis on Strange, noting only that the roster includes multiple tight ends as part of the stacking strategy.

Brissett was selected as one of three quarterbacks in the best-ball draft. The source does not provide specific analysis on Brissett, noting only that the roster is heavily stacked with multiple quarterback correlations.

Mendoza was selected as one of three quarterbacks in the best-ball draft. The source does not provide specific analysis on Mendoza, noting only that the roster is heavily stacked with multiple quarterback correlations.

Mayer was selected as a tight end in the best-ball draft. The source explicitly states he really likes Michael Mayer, indicating strong personal conviction on his value.

Kittle was selected as the primary tight end in the best-ball draft. The source does not explicitly critique the pick, and the overall roster construction is described as one where the source sacrificed the least value to fit the stacking rules.

Sampson was selected in the late rounds as part of a strategy to spread bets among a group of hopeless running backs with minimal standalone value. The source notes that at pick 216, Sampson and other late-round RBs like Seth McGowan and Samaje Pirine are all similarly poor options, so tie-breaking to correlation is a reasonable approach.

Pearsall was a wide receiver at the top of the source's ranks and ADP range. The source notes that the pick made complete sense in the context of the team, with the added bonus of correlating with stacks already being built.

Lemon was selected as the wide receiver three in the Eagles stack. The source notes that with Devonta Smith and Terry McLaurin already on the roster, Lemon made sense as the stacked wide receiver option to complete the Eagles correlation.

Swift was the source's highest-available running back at the time of selection. The source notes that while the pick could have gone in multiple directions, Swift made sense as the top RB available, with the stacking correlation to the Eagles providing a bonus but not the primary reason for selection.

McLaurin was the source's highest-rated wide receiver at the time of selection and was drafted to fill a clear positional need for a second wide receiver. The source notes strong stacking synergy with Jalen Hertz and Devonta Smith on the Eagles.

Smith was one of the three highest-ranked players the source wanted to draft regardless of stacking strategy. The source also notes strong stacking synergy: having Smith and Terry McLaurin on the same team makes Jalen Hertz an automatic pick, and Smith correlates well with the Eagles stack.

Love was one of the three highest-ranked players the source wanted to draft regardless of stacking strategy, indicating strong conviction on his value and early-round appeal in best-ball formats.

McGowan is the source's slight lean for the backup running back role over Giddens and other competition. The source prefers McGowan because beat writers view it as an even competition despite the typical tie-breaker favoring non-rookies, and McGowan has received universally good reviews in camp while Giddens disappointed last year. However, McGowan will have zero standalone value unless the starter misses time.

McCaffrey is cited as an example of a running back that projects to function like a wide receiver for stacking purposes in DFS, with higher snap rates and receiving volume in trail or neutral game scripts.

Watson is mentioned as one of the source's preferred wide receiver options at the 4-5 turn alongside McLaurin and Adams.

Adams is mentioned as one of the source's preferred wide receiver options at the 4-5 turn alongside McLaurin and Watson.

McLaurin is selected at the 4-5 turn as one of the source's preferred wide receiver options. The Commanders' Week 17 matchup against the Jaguars provides stacking flexibility.

Williams is available at the 6-7 turn as part of the Lions-Bears stack opportunity. The source notes that if they secure two skill-position Bears at the 4-5 turn, coming back with Caleb creates 'a legitimately very good team.'

Diggs is mentioned as one of the source's preferred options at the 2-3 turn alongside Olave, indicating strong valuation at that draft spot.

Brown has moved significantly up the board from his historical 2-3 turn range, indicating a rise in draft capital and market valuation.

Warren has received bearish injury reporting, contributing to the weakness of the 2-3 turn running back options this year.

Jacobs was a 2-3 turn staple but has declined in ADP following off-field issues. The source notes his departure from the 2-3 turn has made that draft spot tougher overall.

Rice's ADP has declined significantly from the 2-3 turn due to knee surgery and subsequent injury concerns, though the source notes he is 'on the way back a little bit' and is 'a totally fine pick' at the 2-3 turn, suggesting the market may have overcorrected.

Smith is selected at the 2-3 turn as the source's preferred wide receiver option. The Eagles' Week 17 matchup against the 49ers provides additional stacking opportunities, with the source noting 'lots of 49ers that I enjoy.'

Olave is identified as the source's highest-rated wide receiver available at the 2-3 turn, though the source prefers not to start three running backs and opts for a wide receiver instead.

Njoku is mentioned as no longer available at the 2-3 turn; the source notes he is now gone from the board, indicating he was drafted earlier than expected in this exercise.

Swift is identified as one of three players (alongside Burden and Loveland) available at the 4-5 turn that the source has drafted above market rates. The source later advocates for taking Swift in the 4-5 turn as part of the Lions-Bears stack, noting that a running back-running back game stack is acceptable when both backs project reasonably in either game script and both have higher snap rates and receiving volume in trail/neutral script.

The source identifies Loveland as one of three players (alongside Burden and Swift) available at the 4-5 turn that the source has drafted above market rates. Loveland is part of the Lions-Bears stack opportunity in Week 17.

DeVonta Smith is hoped to get the bulk of A.J. Brown's 121 vacated targets, but that's not realistic.

Aaron Rodgers is not good enough at throwing deep balls and gets rid of the ball quickly, limiting upside for receivers like DK Metcalf.

DK Metcalf will not be drafted due to Aaron Rodgers' inability to throw deep balls and his tendency to get rid of the ball quickly; Metcalf had a low ADOT last year.

Makai Lemon has more upside than Michael Pittman with A.J. Brown gone, leaving 121 targets available for the Eagles receiving corps.

Michael Pittman could be the best receiver for the Steelers and one of the biggest surprises of 2026; he's young, had a good year last year, and could be a top-3 fantasy receiver with 77-800 yards and 6 TDs.

If Jacoby Brissett starts the majority of the season for the Cardinals, Michael Wilson could see more opportunities and targets.

Marvin Harrison Jr. is still viewed as the best receiver on the Cardinals and is going in round 5-6, but Michael Wilson's recent production raises questions about Harrison's target share.

Michael Wilson averaged 21.2 PPR points per game in his last 10 games but was much better playing out wide than in the slot; he's ranked in the 40s with upside if he becomes the primary receiver.

Matthew Golden was a first-round pick for Green Bay and will likely get opportunities to justify his draft capital, potentially limiting snap count for Jaden Reed.

Christian Watson is clearly the alpha receiver for Green Bay no matter what LaFleur says, limiting opportunities for other receivers like Jaden Reed.

Jaden Reed is a more efficient version of Josh Downs but faces snap count uncertainty; he figures to be the slot receiver for Green Bay with Christian Watson as the alpha, limiting his playing time.

Josh Downs is a huge winner with Alec Pierce gone and will lead the Colts in targets alongside Tyler Warren; he averaged over 12 PPR points per game in 2024 and should see a significant increase.

Chris Godwin is the favorite player across rounds 7-9, returning to slot receiver role with strong rapport with Baker Mayfield; fantastic value in round 8, though downside risk exists from last year's injury.

Jalen Waddle's performance or injury status is the only upside scenario for Courtland Sutton, as Sutton would need Waddle to underperform or get hurt to return to his previous role.

Quentin Johnson is a former first-round pick with huge upside under Mike McDaniel, who is comparing him to Andre Johnson and Julio Jones; he scored 8 TDs in each of the last two years and has big-play potential.

Courtland Sutton has no path to top-24 production and should not be drafted in round 7; even if Jalen Waddle got hurt, he likely couldn't achieve it.

Alec Pierce is ranked around WR 6 in full PPR and has organic upside to exceed his 105-target projection and finish better than WR 21, though reaching for him in round 7 is a mistake.

Jamison Williams can get 105 targets and be efficient, finishing as a WR 19-21 type player.

Christian Watson is projected to get about 105 targets but may not turn that into top-tier WR production like WR 21-28.

Pierce was paid like a number one wide receiver and with Michael Pittman gone, the Colts should use him accordingly, likely giving him more short and intermediate route opportunities.

Pierce's short-area receiving metrics are poor: 58% catch rate on throws 15 yards or closer, only 1 TD on 36 such targets, 7.4 yards per target, and 0.78 yards per route run, raising questions about his effectiveness in a shorter role.

Pierce has led the NFL in yards per target and yards per catch two straight seasons but has one of the highest ADOTs in the NFL at 17 yards, limiting his target volume to only 84 in 15 games.

Pierce had surgery to ensure no issues for training camp and should be fine for the start of the season.

Pierce is a steal at round 7 ADP; if healthy, he would be a round 5 receiver based on his contract and upside, though his injury status has depressed his ADP.

Johnston is wide receiver 37 in ADP and will apparently play a different role this season; ranked between Pierce and Sutton in value.

Jeff Howe reports Rodriguez should be an important part of the Jacksonville offense; he's a good short yardage and goal line running back with history with coach Liam Cohen.

Addison has ranked 55th or worse in targets per route run among wide receivers with 50+ targets in all three of his NFL seasons, meaning he needs to score touchdowns to be productive.

Harrison's presence limits Michael Wilson's production; almost all of Wilson's big games came when Harrison was sidelined, and with both on the field, Wilson averaged only 10.2 PPR points per game.

Wilson averaged 21.2 PPR fantasy points per game in his last 10 games, comparable to JSN's full-season average, though production was inflated when Marvin Harrison Jr. was sidelined.

Sutton is sixth in touchdowns among wide receivers over the last three seasons but 15th in targets; his value depends on maintaining his end zone role despite Jalen Waddell's arrival, with hopes he becomes a Devontae Adams-type player.

Godwin was a top six wide receiver per game in all three formats in 2024 but not top 50 last year; expected to exceed ADP but likely finish between those extremes, not as bad as last year due to recovery trajectory from injury.

With Michael Pittman gone, Pierce could get close to seven targets per game in Indianapolis, consolidating targets left behind.

With Michael Pittman gone, Downs could get close to seven targets per game in Indianapolis, consolidating targets left behind.

Rookie expected to get more playing time and has been one of the most efficient wide receivers in football since entering the league, ranking second among wide receivers in fantasy points per target over the last three years.

Rookie wide receiver being drafted in rounds 7-9 according to Fantasy Pros PPR consensus ADP as a potential breakout option.

Ray Davis was taken as RB66 in the draft.

Aaron Rodgers was drafted in the eighth round but the analyst has not talked anything positive about him because he had an Achilles injury a couple years ago, which typically results in loss of zip on the ball.

Deshaun Watson is being faded; there is uncertainty about how long he will last behind a brand new offensive line and whether he will even start the year.

Kirk Cousins is being faded in super flex drafts; he was not good last year and players coming off Achilles injuries typically lose zip on the ball, making him a poor value.

Shedeur Sanders was the highest-ranked quarterback left on the board and was taken as a third quarterback option, with the analyst betting against Deshaun Watson and believing Sanders could create interesting opportunities in the Cleveland Browns offense.

Pat Freiermuth played a career-low 52% of snaps last year under Arthur Smith, but with Smith gone and only two tight ends on the roster, Freiermuth is expected to be a red zone threat with a good bet to score five to six touchdowns.

Brandon Aiyuk is viewed as a ticking time bomb with uncertainty about his status; there is above a 50% chance he does not play football this year, similar to a Deontay Johnson situation.

Excluding his first game back in week seven, Jalen Coker had the 15th highest receiving yards for the rest of the season with five games over 45 receiving yards.

Jalen Coker is a talented player who has been very effective whenever healthy; he serves as a hedge for Terrell McMillan and could benefit if the Panthers offense improves as a passing unit.

Romeo Doubs is taken as a wide receiver in the 14th round and is considered a good pick for receiver help.

Dylan Sampson is a clear value pick because Quinchan Judkins will not have a clean RB1 vs RB2 role; the Browns will be pass-heavy due to their weak defense without Myles Garrett, and all advanced metrics favor Sampson over Judkins.

Tyler Warren is described as rock solid with red zone presence and no fumble issues, though he has been unable to catch a break due to playing behind top-five drafted first-round running backs.

Greg Dulcich slipped to the 13th round and is considered the best pick made so far in this draft.

Tyler Allgeier has been devalued due to disappointment about his situation, but he earned carries with the Falcons with a 42% red zone rush share, 32 carries inside the five-yard line, and has never fumbled in his NFL career.

Jordan Addison has boom-bust potential that works well in best ball settings because he can generate big plays, and the analyst reconsidered his earlier negative take after Jake Sealy made good points.

Xavier Worthy is significantly cheaper this year after his season was derailed by a shoulder injury early last year; he could provide upside if the Chiefs offense returns to throwing the ball deep effectively.

Chris Rodriguez received positive reports on July 6th indicating he is fully expected to be ready and will have a significant role in the Jaguars offense.

Aaron Jones fell off in advanced rushing metrics last year, following a Camara-esque path as an older running back still trusted as a receiver but declining in efficiency.

Aaron Jones is expected to be the third-down back in the Vikings offense, with Jordan Mason as the primary ball carrier.

A Vikings beat reporter indicated this is Jordan Mason's backfield, with Aaron Jones handling third downs and Demon Claiborne not playing much as a rookie.

Jordan Mason ranked 12th in yards per carry, 8th in explosive run rate, 11th in yards after contact, and 7th in missed tackles forced among 31 RBs with 700+ rushing yards, suggesting efficiency that could translate better in a more efficient offense.

Darnell Washington lost 45 pounds and may shift from being lined up as a sixth offensive lineman to getting more opportunities in space, building on his strong yards-after-catch metrics from last year.

Michael Pittman is part of a Pittsburgh Steelers stack with the expectation that the team will throw the ball at a top-five rate under McCarthy.

Kenneth Gainwell is expected to rise in ADP over the next couple of weeks.

The price that Bucky Irving is at right now is considered fair, though some analysts like Pat Fitzmaurice believe in him.

Darnell Washington is described as a really fun piece in the Steelers passing game alongside Fryer and Ruth.

Sean Tucker is mentioned as a goal-line back, with Kenny Gainwell being better than him in that role.

Bucky Irving can't stay healthy, and the team wants a 1A-1B relationship with Kenny Gainwell, though the analyst thinks Bucky's current price is fair.

Kenny Gainwell benefits from full PPR format and is better than Sean Tucker around the goal line; the team wants a 1A-1B relationship between him and Bucky Irving.

Trevion Henderson is projected to eventually take a 60-40 split in his favor over Ramondre Stevenson, with strong pass-game usage and explosive potential similar to Gibbs and Dave Montgomery.

Aaron Rodgers should throw a lot but is not considered particularly good anymore, and the analyst doesn't think he's up for debate on that assessment.

Sam Laporta is selected as a second tight end in the draft, allowing the analyst to push running back selection further out.

Denzel Boston is a rookie drafted by the Browns who increases target competition for Harold Fannin.

Harold Fannin faces potential environmental headwinds with Deshaun Watson as quarterback (who was 'gross' last year) and increased target competition from rookies Denzel Boston and Casey Concepcion, which could derail his second-year progression.

Tucker Craft is highlighted as a tight end with elite yards-after-catch ability (10.6 YAC last year, highest among tight ends with 25+ catches), 26% red zone target share, and potential for ADP jump.

Rico Dowdle is mentioned as an available running back option in round 8 for Zero RB builds.

Ramondre Stevenson is mentioned as an available running back option in round 8 for Zero RB builds.

Tony Pollard is mentioned as a projected starter available on the running back board in round 8.

Jadarian Price, a first-round rookie running back, is going outside the top 24 RBs and has boom-or-bust potential; if he hits, he could be a lead back in a good offense.

Cam Ward is selected as a second quarterback in a Zero RB build to avoid reaching on the position early.