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Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

Matthew Berry fantasy football advice and player analysis

160
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Oct 6, 2026
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Tue, October 6, 2026
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MNF Recap + Week 5 Waiver Wire

MNF Recap + Week 5 Waiver Wire artwork
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Bijan RobinsonPositiveValueOct 6, 2026

Matthew Berry and co-host make a joke that 'Bijan Robinson, Brian Robinson, on behalf of fantasy managers everywhere, you guys both drink free'—suggesting both Robinsons are valuable fantasy assets this season.

Jayden DanielsNegativeInjuryOct 6, 2026

Uncertain if he will play in Week 5 against Giants; there's a chance he will; if he doesn't play, Giants defense becomes stronger streaming option.

Deshaun WatsonPositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026

Resurrecting his career; top-12 quarterback; Browns defense is for real; front seven getting after guys; well coached; good on all phases of football; getting plus money in betting line despite strong play; game over-under 39.5 suggests slugfest; Matthew Berry thinks Browns will win slugfest against Jets.

Jameis WinstonNegativeMatchupOct 6, 2026

Commanders allowed touchdown passes at second-highest rate this season; quarterbacks facing Commanders averaging 22.5 fantasy points per game; Jameis experience is back—for better or worse, he's a gunslinger who throws touchdowns and interceptions; Daniel Jones did not have great game against Commanders but Jameis is different.

Kirk CousinsPositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026

Three straight games with 20+ fantasy points; top-10 fantasy quarterback so far this season; Matthew Berry believes people are overweighting the Achilles injury narrative from last year; Raiders are 3-1 and he's playing well; doing this without a true number-one receiver (Brock Bowers helps but not greatest weapons); good running game helps; Cousins appears 100% healthy now, getting outside pocket which he never did before; tough matchup on road at New England this week but more interesting than not in deeper leagues.

Aaron RodgersPositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026

Back-to-back games with over 290 yards and three touchdowns; has Darnell Washington; threw beautiful vintage throw; remembered he has DK Metcalf; Roman Wilson balling; playing well; Indianapolis has bottom-10 pass defense; Steelers lead NFL in pass rate over expectation through four weeks; favorable matchup with Colts; slinging it more under Mike McCarthy.

Jacoby BrissettPositiveMatchupOct 6, 2026

Playing Detroit Lions, who allow most passing yards per game in NFL (304 yards per game); every quarterback facing Lions this season has scored at least 21 fantasy points; game over-under 54.5 suggests shootout; Matthew Berry's top waiver add at QB; Cardinals and Lions both can't stop anyone; Brissett has been pretty good; Matthew Berry wants as many pieces of this game as possible.

Tyler HuntleyNegativeProjectionOct 6, 2026

If Lamar Jackson doesn't play, Tyler Huntley may get the start for Ravens; started two games last season averaging 15.5 fantasy points per game with strong rushing production (56+ yards per game); Ravens on road in Atlanta for Sunday night game; Matthew Berry would prefer other options against Falcons' good run defense, though secondary can be beaten.

Brenton StrangePositiveUsageOct 6, 2026

26% target share over last two weeks playing Philadelphia Eagles; Matthew Berry quietly highlighting this as a waiver wire option.

Hunter HenryPositiveMatchupOct 6, 2026

Raiders have allowed five touchdowns to tight ends this season, tied for second-most in NFL; good matchup against Las Vegas; Eli Rattan dealing with ankle injury, which could mean more Henry volume than normal; Matthew Berry has consistently highlighted Hunter Henry on his show.

Tre HarrisPositiveBreakoutOct 6, 2026

Highly regarded prospect who has taken time to crack the lineup; with Lad McConkie potentially missing due to aggravated foot injury, Harris becomes a target with 5 deep targets over the past two games.

Malik WashingtonPositiveValueOct 6, 2026

Averaging 7 targets per game with expanding role; 27% target share; cleared 40 yards in every game so far; at least 53 yards in 3 of 4 games; positioned as floor play in deeper leagues, especially with favorable matchup against Cincinnati; benefits from A-Chan's absence with targets flooding to him.

Khalil ShakirPositiveValueOct 6, 2026

36% red zone target share; positioned as floor play in high-scoring Bills-Rams matchup (over/under 54.5); safer pick for those needing consistent points rather than upside.

D.J. MooreNegativeInjuryOct 6, 2026

DJ Moore left the game with a shoulder injury. Matthew Berry indicates that when Moore is active and healthy, he remains the number one read for Josh Allen, but his absence has opened opportunity for Keon Coleman and Khalil Shakir.

Khalil ShakirPositiveRoleOct 6, 2026

Shakir offers a reliable floor play in PPR leagues with at least a 21% target share in three of four games this season; he also carries a 36% red zone target share, which Matthew Berry notes people would be surprised to learn. With the Bills-Rams matchup carrying an over-under of 54.5 points, the game environment should support pass-heavy volume for Shakir.

Keon ColemanPositiveRoleOct 6, 2026

With DJ Moore sidelined the past two weeks, Coleman has posted a 35% target share and 13.6 yards per reception average; he's recorded at least six receptions in two of the past three games. Matthew Berry notes that Josh Allen is finally starting to trust Coleman—evidenced by third-down 50-50 balls thrown his way—and that the first-round talent is starting to click. When DJ Moore returns, Coleman will revert to secondary role, but the emerging trust and production suggest Coleman is acclimating after a slow start to the season.

Brian RobinsonPositiveRoleOct 6, 2026

Matthew Berry emphasizes that Brian Robinson remains one of the top insurance running backs and needs to be rostered in more leagues. Berry argues Robinson should be rostered in 100% of leagues because Bijan Robinson is rostered in 100% of leagues, making him essential insurance. Berry compares Robinson's role to Ty L.G. or Blake Corum last year—ten touches with a shot at a touchdown every single week.

Will ShipleyPositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026

Matthew Berry ranks Will Shipley as his number two running back add. Shipley is slated to lead the Eagles backfield this week and should be heavily involved in the passing game where the Jaguars are vulnerable.

Emanuel WilsonPositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026

Matthew Berry identifies Emmanuel Wilson as his top running back add. Wilson should see at least another week as the lead back in Seattle, depending on how soon Charbonnet returns and Mixon gets onto the active roster again.

Keaton MitchellPositiveRoleOct 6, 2026

Matthew Berry notes the Ravens are getting creative with Mitchell, getting the ball in his hands to let his speed take over. Mitchell needs to be rostered in more leagues; he's available in 65% of them. Berry sees him as a valuable option with enough usage to be valuable in PPR scoring, even as a bench stash or desperation flex play.

Keaton MitchellPositiveSleeperOct 6, 2026

Keaton Mitchell was on the preseason love list as a sleeper and remains available in 65% of leagues despite his recent usage surge. With the Ravens facing the Broncos' tough defense, the team may lean on creative play-calling to get Mitchell the ball and let his speed take over.

Keaton MitchellPositiveUsageOct 6, 2026

Mitchell posted season highs in snap rate, touches, and target share in Week 4 and has now recorded double-digit touches in two straight weeks. He's being deployed at high rates in split-wide receiver alignments, similar to Christian McCaffrey, giving him multiple touch opportunities.

Keaton MitchellPositiveRoleOct 6, 2026

Keaton Mitchell is now leading the Ravens backfield in snaps and targets after Mike McDaniel actively pursued him in the offseason with a 'wanted poster.' He's being used creatively, including bubble screens and split-wide receiver alignments similar to Christian McCaffrey's usage, positioning him as the preferred back in this backfield.

Jeremiyah LoveNegativeRoleOct 6, 2026

Love's pass protection has been a shock; despite excelling on third down and in pass protection at Notre Dame, he's struggling to adjust to NFL defenses' more complex looks, blitzes, and pressures. His ability to pick up these adjustments quickly will determine his fantasy viability.

Jeremiyah LoveNegativeInjuryOct 6, 2026

Love's ankle injury is a lingering concern; he mentioned in interviews that his ankle isn't right and that this will be the longest year of his career. Beyond the typical rookie adjustment cycle, there's a physical component affecting his performance.

Jahan DotsonPositiveProjectionOct 6, 2026

Caught a late touchdown from Michael Penix in Monday night game that helped Cobra Kyger nearly complete a comeback in Matthew Berry's guillotine league.

Michael Penix Jr.NegativeProjectionOct 6, 2026

In Matthew Berry's guillotine league, Cobra Kyger needed 20 points from Penix in the Monday night game; Penix threw a late touchdown to Jahan Dotson that got Kyger within seven points of Berry, but fell short.

Jeremiyah LoveNegativeRoleOct 6, 2026

Tyler Algier is getting more involved and taking touches away; Matthew Berry expects this to correct itself and Love to return to dominant role, but so far this season Algier has been the more-used back; Love may have ankle issues affecting his performance.

DeVonta SmithNegativeInjuryOct 6, 2026

Status uncertain for London game against Jaguars; Matthew Berry notes it's 'not looking great early' for his availability.

Will ShipleyPositiveMatchupOct 6, 2026

Could be an interesting spot start in PPR formats against Jaguars, who give up the most receptions and receiving yards to opposing running backs in the NFL; Jacksonville also allows 10 catches to Chase Brown; Shipley is great in the passing game and Eagles offense is struggling with Saquon Barkley and Devontae Smith potentially out.

Joe MixonNegativeProjectionOct 6, 2026

Signed by Seahawks as a depth move; hasn't played since January 2025; Matthew Berry calls this 'much ado about nothing' and doesn't expect him to be fantasy relevant, viewing it as a depth signing due to injuries to Jadarian Price (IR) and Zach Charbonnet (couple weeks away).

Emanuel WilsonPositiveUsageOct 6, 2026

Available in 51% of leagues; led Seahawks backfield in snaps each of past three games; last week handled 24 of 32 running back rushes (75%) and got 100% of red zone and goal line work; Matthew Berry prefers him over Joe Mixon as a short-term option despite 49ers matchup this week.