Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry

Matthew Berry is betting on Drake Maye at 15-1 to lead the league in passing yards, citing the team's high passing volume, the addition of A.J. Brown, and a tougher schedule that will force the team to throw more.

Matthew Berry identifies David Montgomery as underpriced, projecting him for 250-300 touches, 1,200 total yards, and 8-10 touchdowns, making him a solid RB2 value in the sixth or seventh round.

Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet highlight Tank Dell as an undervalued asset who is 'free' in drafts. He is fully healthy and practicing, making him a prime candidate to monitor early in the season for a return to his productive rookie form.

Peter Overzet is targeting CJ Stroud as a long-shot bet for the regular season passing yards leader at +3500, citing his impressive rookie performance and the return of a healthy receiving corps including Tank Dell.

Peter Overzet notes that while he is excited about Josh Downs, the potential addition of Keenan Allen to the Colts would likely hurt Downs' fantasy value more than it would impact Alec Pierce.

Despite lingering injury concerns and a falling ADP, Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet are 'buying the dip' on Alec Pierce in best ball. He is viewed as a high-upside deep threat who is insulated from potential competition like Keenan Allen, as his role as a field stretcher is secure once healthy.

Parker Washington is currently experiencing extreme hype, with reports of his early-morning workout routine and dedication. While Matthew Berry ranks him highest among Jaguars wide receivers, the excessive hype is noted as a primary driver for the falling ADP of teammate Jakobi Meyers.

Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet argue that Jakobi Meyers is being unfairly faded due to 'Parker Washington mania.' Meyers is a proven target earner who commanded a 24% target share in Jacksonville last year and was paid significantly by the team. Berry ranks him at WR45 and expects him to outperform that rank.

Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet acknowledge Mason Taylor as a competent player in the Jets offense, which contributes to the lack of immediate fantasy viability for other tight ends on the roster.

Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet view Sadiq as a high-upside 'mystery box' for best ball builds, noting his physical freak athleticism and potential for late-season spike weeks similar to Colston Loveland's rookie trajectory. While likely undraftable in managed leagues due to a slow start, he remains a compelling late-round target.

Kenyon Sadiq is down nine spots in ADP while dealing with an injury that has kept him from returning to full practice. Despite the drop, Peter Overzet maintains more hope for Sadiq than for Gadsden, as Sadiq still has a clearer path to becoming an every-down tight end once healthy.

Aaron Jones is sliding in ADP as Jordan Mason gains buzz, but Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet still consider him a buy-the-dip candidate. While Jones has missed significant time in recent years and is entering his age-32 season, he remains a key part of the Vikings' offense and a valuable asset at his current price point.

Jordan Mason is an ADP riser who has demonstrated high efficiency, posting a 56% rushing success rate last season. Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet view him as a valuable target at his current cost, especially given Aaron Jones's injury history. They believe the Vikings' backfield could be a productive two-man committee.

Matthew Berry is lower on Harold Fannin this season, citing that Fannin's volume last year was a product of a lack of competition. With the additions of Denzel Boston and Concepcion, Berry expects Fannin's target volume to decrease significantly compared to his previous role as a volume king.

Denzel Boston is a priority target and an ADP riser, up 12 spots. He is listed as a starter on the Browns' unofficial depth chart and is expected to serve as a primary red-zone target. While Peter Overzet notes he may be a headache in redraft due to potential low-volume passing, he is an excellent best-ball stash with high touchdown upside.

Deebo Samuel is an ADP riser, up about a round and a half on Underdog over the past week. Matthew Berry notes Samuel has maintained at least an 18% target share in every season he has played at least eight games, making him a safer bet for early-season production than rookie John Stribling.

Deebo Samuel is identified as an ADP riser, climbing 14 spots over the past week in Underdog best ball drafts. Matthew Berry notes this movement reflects sharp drafter sentiment.

Jonathan Brooks is gaining momentum in rankings, with Dwayne McFarland flipping him ahead of Chuba Hubbard. Peter Overzet notes that while Brooks has injury concerns and limited NFL experience, he is the preferred bet for upside in the Carolina backfield. Berry warns that his ADP could become over-inflated.

Chuba Hubbard is week-to-week with a hamstring injury. Matthew Berry maintains a higher ranking for Hubbard than Jonathan Brooks, citing the team's trust in Hubbard's pass protection and his veteran status, despite acknowledging Brooks' higher upside.

Jeremiah Love saw encouraging usage in preseason, playing 23 snaps with 14 touches and a 25% target rate on his routes. Matthew Berry notes this addresses concerns about his pass-game involvement and usage relative to Tyler Algier. While a goal-line split with Algier is expected, Love is viewed as a future workhorse and a potential superstar.

Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet confirm Kirk Cousins is the expected Week 1 starter, though Overzet suggests the team may turn to Fernando Mendoza as early as Week 2 or 3 if Cousins struggles, similar to the team's quick pivot to Michael Penix last year.

Matthew Berry and Peter Overzet agree that Mendoza looked good in preseason action. While Kirk Cousins is expected to start Week 1, Fantasy Life projects Mendoza to take over as the starter around Week 6 or 7. Overzet notes that Mendoza's performance provides confidence that he will not crater the offense for skill players like Brock Bowers or Ashton Genty.

Scott Turner believes Adonai Mitchell has number-one receiver ability and could take off this season as the team's second-most targeted player. Turner notes that Mitchell has shown flashes in practice and that improved quarterback play from Geno Smith could unlock his potential.

Scott Turner identifies Garrett Wilson as the Jets' clear best player and expects the team to force-feed him targets. Turner believes Geno Smith's presence will lead to more downfield opportunities where Wilson excels at separation and ball tracking.

Scott Turner expects the Jets to utilize a "three-headed monster" approach in the backfield, which may limit Breece Hall's individual volume despite him remaining the primary ball carrier.

Matthew Berry ranks DK Metcalf as his WR36, noting that the offense's tendency toward short, "dink and dunk" passing under Aaron Rodgers, combined with increased target competition, limits Metcalf's fantasy upside.

Scott Turner is selling on the Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy reunion in Pittsburgh, citing concerns about Rodgers' age and recent performance post-Achilles injury, despite acknowledging McCarthy's history of successful offenses.

Scott Turner projects Colston Loveland to have a breakout rookie season similar to Sam LaPorta's, citing the team's willingness to feed him the ball down the stretch and his high-end talent.

Scott Turner emphasizes that Alec Pierce's health is a major factor for the Colts' offense, as he has been a league leader in yards per catch over the last few years and is vital for their deep-ball and intermediate passing game.

Matthew Berry notes that Khalil Shakir was the only Buffalo wide receiver to reach at least 60 targets last season, highlighting the team's tendency to spread the ball around among multiple pass-catchers.

Matthew Berry ranks Josh Allen as his number one quarterback, noting that while the Bills' tendency to spread the ball around might cap individual upside for receivers, the overall offensive outlook remains very positive for Allen.

Scott Turner expects DJ Moore to be highly successful in the Bills' offense, noting his run-after-catch ability and familiarity with the system from his time in Carolina. Turner anticipates the team will design plays to get the ball in his hands, similar to Stefon Diggs' initial impact in Buffalo, and expects him to be a key target for Josh Allen, especially when plays break down.

Moore is a smooth runner with deceptive speed and elite run-after-catch ability; he may be the best wide receiver Josh Allen has played with, and he is already familiar with Joe Brady's system.

LaPorta is ranked as the TE6 but sits in a tier below the elite options, as the Lions have too many mouths to feed to guarantee the massive target share seen by other tight ends.

Gibbs is expected to receive a ton of touches in the Lions' offense under Drew Petzing, maintaining his status as a top-tier fantasy asset.

Andrews is viewed as a touchdown-dependent, mid-tier TE2 in the current Ravens offense.

Flowers is a mid-tier WR2 with weekly upside, but his touchdown equity is capped by the team's reliance on Henry in the red zone and other targets like Andrews.

Henry is a top-10 running back who will be a focal point of the Ravens' offense; it is difficult to bet against his production.

Jackson is expected to be successful regardless of the play-caller, with the new coaching staff providing a needed 'shot in the arm' for the Ravens offense.

Njoku is viewed as an unbelievable blocker who fits what Mike McDaniel likes to do, though the team may still lean toward 11 personnel.